- Lead
- 537
- Total
- 4,331
- vs nation
- D+13.9
- Turnout
- 36.4%
Bethel Census Area, AK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 36.4% of 11,888 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,452
- Total
- 5,144
- vs nation
- D+23.8
- Turnout
- 44.4%
- Lead
- 1,646
- Total
- 5,014
- vs nation
- D+30.9
- Turnout
- 44.3%
- Lead
- 2,293
- Total
- 4,770
- vs nation
- D+44.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 445
- Total
- 5,172
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 70
- Total
- 4,510
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 205
- Total
- 4,799
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,317
- Total
- 4,818
- vs nation
- D+18.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,3942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,9962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.7 in 1960MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nome Census Area, AK · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 36.4%4,331 participants ÷ 11,888 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,014 | 11,319 | 44.3% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,144 | 11,592 | 44.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,331 | 11,888 | 36.4% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 37-746 Sleetmute746 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38-800 Akiachak800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-802 Akiak802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-804 Aniak804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-806 Atmautluak806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-808 Bethel No. 1808 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-810 Bethel No. 2810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-812 Chefornak812 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-814 Chuathbaluk814 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-816 Crooked Creek816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-818 Eek818 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-820 Goodnews Bay820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-822 Kasigluk822 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-824 Kipnuk824 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-826 Kongiganak826 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-828 Kwethluk828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-830 Kwigillingok830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-832 Lower Kalskag832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-836 Mekoryuk836 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-838 Napakiak838 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-840 Napaskiak840 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-842 Newtok842 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-844 Nightmute844 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-846 Nunapitchuk846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-848 Quinhagak848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-852 Toksook Bay852 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-854 Tuluksak854 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-856 Tuntutuliak856 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-858 Tununak858 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 38-860 Upper Kalskag860 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Akiachak Precinct800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Akiak Precinct802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Aniak Precinct (Part; Also See Part In Wade Hampton Census Area)510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atmautluak Precinct804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel No. 1 Precinct806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel No. 2 Precinct808 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel No. 3 Precinct810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chefornak Precinct812 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chuathbaluk Precinct540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crooked Creek Precinct545 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eek Precinct814 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goodnews Bay Precinct816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kasigluk Precinct820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kipnuk Precinct822 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kongiganak Precinct824 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kwethluk Precinct826 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kwigillingok Precinct828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lower Kalskag Precinct830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mcgrath Precinct (Part; Also See Part In Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area)610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mekoryuk Precinct832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Napakiak Precinct834 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Napaskiak Precinct836 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newtok Precinct838 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nightmute Precinct840 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nunapitchuk Precinct842 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Quinhagak Precinct844 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sleetmute Precinct665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Toksook Bay Precinct846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tuluksak Precinct848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tuntutuliak Precinct850 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tununak Precinct852 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Upper Kalskag Precinct818 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1960 | −34.7% |
| 1964 | +73.1% |
| 1968 | +14.8% |
| 1972 | +15.4% |
| 1976 | +2.3% |
| 1980 | +35.7% |
| 1984 | −6.4% |
| 1988 | −7.5% |
| 1992 | −0.0% |
| 1996 | +27.3% |
| 2000 | +4.3% |
| 2004 | −1.6% |
| 2008 | +8.6% |
| 2012 | +48.1% |
| 2016 | +33.0% |
| 2020 | +28.2% |
| 2024 | +12.4% |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 4.0 points more Republican.
11,264 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−229 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,212 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,301 in average income, against $54,996 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+4.7 on average — 7.7 points more Republican-leaning than Bethel Census Area, AK itself (D+12.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK67D+1.4
- Kusilvak Census Area, AK20D+15.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK137
- Kusilvak Census Area, AK23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −26 |
| 2012 | −63 |
| 2013 | −166 |
| 2014 | −276 |
| 2015 | −281 |
| 2016 | −259 |
| 2017 | −235 |
| 2018 | −135 |
| 2019 | −88 |
| 2021 | −299 |
| 2022 | −592 |
| 2023 | −344 |
| 2024 | −219 |
| 2025 | −229 |
Bethel Census Area spans a roadless stretch of western Alaska where Yup'ik communities make up the majority of the population, producing Democratic margins that stand out sharply against the state's otherwise Republican-leaning presidential map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 34.7 points in 1960. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 15.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.4 points.
A population of 18,394, a 8% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,996 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nome Census Area and Dillingham Census Area.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bethel Census Area, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02050/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.