- Lead
- 635
- Total
- 1,432
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 74.2%
Copper River Census Area, AK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.2% of 1,931 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 688
- Total
- 1,773
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Turnout
- 85.9%
- Lead
- 827
- Total
- 2,049
- vs nation
- R+42.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 576
- Total
- 1,251
- vs nation
- R+49.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 797
- Total
- 1,558
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 705
- Total
- 1,478
- vs nation
- R+45.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 842
- Total
- 1,465
- vs nation
- R+58.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 523
- Total
- 1,350
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,6262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,2502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.0 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK · twin score 80.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.2%1,432 participants ÷ 1,931 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,773 | 2,063 | 85.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,432 | 1,931 | 74.2% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 06-020 Chistochina020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-025 Copper Center025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-035 Gakona035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-047 Kenny Lake047 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-632 Glennallen632 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1960 | +8.6% |
| 1964 | +26.8% |
| 1968 | −19.9% |
| 1972 | −26.5% |
| 1976 | −25.1% |
| 1980 | −53.2% |
| 1984 | −65.0% |
| 1988 | −46.1% |
| 1992 | −28.7% |
| 1996 | −38.7% |
| 2000 | −57.5% |
| 2004 | −47.7% |
| 2008 | −51.2% |
| 2012 | −46.0% |
| 2016 | −40.4% |
| 2020 | −38.8% |
| 2024 | −44.3% |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Democratic.
3,812 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−17 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +27 over 2021–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,680 in average income, against $75,249 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.7 on average — 3.4 points more Republican-leaning than Copper River Census Area, AK itself (R+44.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK28R+47.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2021 | +11 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | +48 |
| 2024 | −19 |
| 2025 | −17 |
Spanning roughly 25,000 square miles with fewer than 3,000 residents, Copper River Census Area is one of Alaska's most sparsely populated jurisdictions, and its electorate has leaned heavily Republican in every recent presidential cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 65.0 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 2,626, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,250 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Southeast Fairbanks Census Area and Wrangell City and Borough.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Copper River Census Area, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02066/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.