- Lead
- 561
- Total
- 3,186
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- 60.7%
Chugach Census Area, AK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.7% of 5,253 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 309
- Total
- 3,666
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- 75.4%
- Lead
- 593
- Total
- 2,826
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 371
- Total
- 3,126
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 892
- Total
- 3,556
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 947
- Total
- 3,514
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,278
- Total
- 3,610
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 442
- Total
- 3,144
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,8622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $90,5092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.4 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK · twin score 78.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.7%3,186 participants ÷ 5,253 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,666 | 4,860 | 75.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,186 | 5,253 | 60.7% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 09-650 Valdez No. 1650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-655 Valdez No. 2655 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-660 Valdez No. 3660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 09-665 Whittier665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 32-805 Cordova805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 32-850 Tatitlek850 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1960 | +0.3% |
| 1964 | +36.7% |
| 1968 | −9.5% |
| 1972 | −27.1% |
| 1976 | −19.0% |
| 1980 | −37.8% |
| 1984 | −42.4% |
| 1988 | −23.1% |
| 1992 | −7.7% |
| 1996 | −14.1% |
| 2000 | −35.4% |
| 2004 | −26.9% |
| 2008 | −25.1% |
| 2012 | −11.9% |
| 2016 | −21.0% |
| 2020 | −8.4% |
| 2024 | −17.6% |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.4 points more Democratic.
4,210 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−41 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −650 over 2021–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,288 in average income, against $92,975 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.4 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Chugach Census Area, AK itself (R+17.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK35D+1.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK38
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2021 | −157 |
| 2022 | −114 |
| 2023 | −188 |
| 2024 | −150 |
| 2025 | −41 |
Stretching across Prince William Sound and the Kenai Peninsula's fringes, Chugach Census Area is one of Alaska's least-dense jurisdictions, where Indigenous communities and remote fishing villages drive turnout patterns that diverge sharply from urban Alaska.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 42.4 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.6 points.
A population of 6,862, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,509 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ketchikan Gateway Borough and Sitka City and Borough.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chugach Census Area, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.