HarrisDemocratic38.4%2,497TrumpRepublican57.5%3,737OtherAll other candidates4.1%265
R+19.1- Lead
- 1,240
- Total
- 6,499
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- 60.8%
Akashiccounty
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.8% of 10,695 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic39.6%2,890TrumpRepublican56.2%4,099OtherAll other candidates4.2%305
R+16.6- Lead
- 1,209
- Total
- 7,294
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- 69.8%
ClintonDemocratic31.9%2,076TrumpRepublican54.4%3,537OtherAll other candidates13.6%887
R+22.5- Lead
- 1,461
- Total
- 6,500
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- 63.9%
ObamaDemocratic38.3%2,263RomneyRepublican55.3%3,267OtherAll other candidates6.4%376
R+17.0- Lead
- 1,004
- Total
- 5,906
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.2%2,494McCainRepublican58.7%3,832OtherAll other candidates3.1%200
R+20.5- Lead
- 1,338
- Total
- 6,526
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.4%1,871BushRepublican66.5%4,231OtherAll other candidates4.1%258
R+37.1- Lead
- 2,360
- Total
- 6,360
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic19.3%1,284BushRepublican70.3%4,681NaderGreen7.1%475
R+51.0- Lead
- 3,397
- Total
- 6,656
- vs nation
- R+51.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic22.3%1,471DoleRepublican63.2%4,180PerotReform10.3%682
R+41.0- Lead
- 2,709
- Total
- 6,610
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,7682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.0 in 2000MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kodiak Island Borough, AK · twin score 79.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.8%6,499 participants ÷ 10,695 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,500 | 10,166 | 63.9% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,294 | 10,444 | 69.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,499 | 10,695 | 60.8% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 36-600 Ketchikan No. 1600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36-610 Ketchikan No. 2610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-620 Ketchikan No. 3620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-640 North Tongass No. 1640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-650 North Tongass No. 2650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-660 Saxman660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-670 South Tongass670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Angoon Precinct (Part; Also See Parts In Four Other Boroughs and Census Areas)500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ketchikan No. 1 Precinct110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ketchikan No. 2 Precinct120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ketchikan No. 3 Precinct130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Metlakatla Precinct (Part; Also See Part In Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area)540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Tongass No. 1 Precinct140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Tongass No. 2 Precinct150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saxman Precinct160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Tongass Precinct170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thorne Bay Precinct (Part; Also See Parts In Wrangell Borough and Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area)180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1960 | −5.0% |
| 1964 | +24.9% |
| 1968 | −11.8% |
| 1972 | −23.3% |
| 1976 | −25.2% |
| 1980 | −31.1% |
| 1984 | −25.9% |
| 1988 | −14.4% |
| 1992 | −6.2% |
| 1996 | −41.0% |
| 2000 | −51.0% |
| 2004 | −37.1% |
| 2008 | −20.5% |
| 2012 | −17.0% |
| 2016 | −22.5% |
| 2020 | −16.6% |
| 2024 | −19.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+14.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+19.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.8 points more Democratic.
12,028 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−146 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,272 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,813 in average income, against $99,377 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.4 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK itself (R+19.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK20D+1.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −22 |
| 2012 | −79 |
| 2013 | −155 |
| 2014 | −19 |
| 2015 | −201 |
| 2016 | −105 |
| 2017 | +19 |
| 2018 | −75 |
| 2019 | −42 |
| 2021 | −159 |
| 2022 | −124 |
| 2023 | −77 |
| 2024 | −87 |
| 2025 | −146 |
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, accessible only by air or sea, anchors its economy in commercial fishing, tourism, and a legacy timber industry — a resource-dependent profile that has correlated with Republican margins exceeding 15 points in recent presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.0 points in 2000. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.1 points.
A population of 13,768, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,885 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kodiak Island Borough and Chugach Census Area.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Kodiak Island Borough
Alaska
79.0twin score
12-yr trend2000–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ elasticity
Chugach Census Area
Alaska
78.6twin score
median income2000–2020 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ % Asian
Anchorage Municipality
Alaska
72.8twin score
% Asianmedian income12-yr trend≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02130/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Ketchikan Gateway Borough
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Frequently asked questions
How did Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska voted Republican by 19.1 points (R+19.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,499 votes cast, 2,497 went Democratic and 3,737 went Republican.
When did Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska?
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska has a population of 13,768 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska?
Median household income in Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska is $92,885 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.