Alaska — Elections 1892–2024

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1960–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1960	−1.9%
1964	+31.6%
1968	−2.1%
1972	−23.5%
1976	−22.3%
1980	−27.9%
1984	−36.8%
1988	−23.3%
1992	−9.2%
1996	−17.5%
2000	−31.0%
2004	−25.9%
2008	−21.5%
2012	−14.0%
2016	−14.8%
2020	−10.2%
2024	−13.1%

DemocraticRepublican

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	R	41.4%Harris140,026	54.5%Trump184,458	1.7%Kennedy5,670	−13.1%	338,177
2020	R	43.0%Biden153,405	53.2%Trump189,891	2.5%Jorgensen8,897	−10.2%	357,136
2016	R	36.5%Clinton116,179	51.3%Trump163,346	5.9%Johnson18,725	−14.8%	318,268
2012	R	40.8%Obama122,641	54.8%Romney164,675	2.5%Johnson7,392	−14.0%	300,495
2008	R	37.9%Obama123,593	59.4%McCain193,843	1.2%Nader3,783	−21.5%	326,196
2004	R	35.3%Kerry99,058	61.3%Bush171,718	1.8%Nader5,069	−25.9%	280,231
2000	R	27.7%Gore79,004	58.6%Bush167,396	10.1%Nader28,747	−31.0%	285,560
1996	R	33.3%Clinton80,377	50.8%Dole122,743	10.9%Perot26,333	−17.5%	241,617
1992	R	30.3%Clinton78,274	39.5%Bush101,970	28.4%Perot73,481	−9.2%	258,447
1988	R	36.3%Dukakis72,585	59.6%Bush119,250	2.7%Paul5,484	−23.3%	200,116
1984	R	29.9%Mondale62,007	66.7%Reagan138,380	3.1%Bergland6,378	−36.8%	207,605
1980	R	26.4%Carter41,840	54.3%Reagan86,110	11.7%Clark18,479	−27.9%	158,445
1976	R	35.7%Carter44,059	57.9%Ford71,556	5.5%Macbride6,785	−22.3%	123,573
1972	R	34.6%McGovern32,966	58.1%Nixon55,351	7.2%Schmitz6,901	−23.5%	95,218
1968	R	42.9%Humphrey34,855	45.1%Nixon36,597	12.0%Wallace9,708	−2.1%	81,160
1964	D	65.8%Johnson86,908	34.2%Goldwater45,127	0.0%Hass1	+31.6%	132,036
1960	R	49.0%Kennedy58,532	51.0%Nixon60,838	0.0%	−1.9%	119,370
1956	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1952	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1948	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1944	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1940	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1936	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1932	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1928	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1924	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1920	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1916	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1912	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1908	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1904	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—

2026 election

On the ballot

Governoropen seatno nominee yet

Bernadette WilsonAdam CrumTreg TaylorTom Begich

Open seat: incumbent Mike Dunleavy (R) is term-limited. Alaska uses a nonpartisan top-four blanket primary on Aug 18, 2026 (NOT yet held), with a ranked-choice general. The final four are not yet set; candidates listed are major declared contenders across parties. Field is large and also includes Republicans Click Bishop, Shelley Hughes, Dave Bronson, Edna DeVries, Lesil McGuire; Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins; and other independents. Candidate set is provisional pending the primary.

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. Senateno nominee yet

Dan Sullivanpresumptive nomineeMary Peltola

Class 2 seat (Dan Sullivan, R) — confirmed; Lisa Murkowski is not up in 2026. Alaska uses a nonpartisan top-four primary (Aug 18, 2026, NOT yet held) then a ranked-choice general. Incumbent Sullivan is the cleared-field frontrunner; former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola (D) is the major challenger. A dozen-plus minor candidates also filed; the final four advancing are not yet determined.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.

Congressional elections · 25 House races · 16 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	47.4%156,245	48.4%159,550	329,555
2022	R	48.8%128,553	49.1%129,379	263,610
2020	R	45.3%159,856	54.4%192,126	353,165
2018	R	46.5%131,199	53.1%149,779	282,166
2016	R	36.0%111,019	50.3%155,088	308,198
2014	R	41.0%114,602	51.0%142,572	279,741
2012	R	28.6%82,927	63.9%185,296	289,804
2010	R	30.5%77,606	69.0%175,384	254,335
2008	R	45.0%142,560	50.1%158,939	316,978
2006	R	40.0%93,879	56.6%132,743	234,645
2004	R	22.4%67,074	71.1%213,216	299,996
2002	R	17.3%39,357	74.5%169,685	227,725
2000	R	16.5%45,372	69.6%190,862	274,393
1998	R	34.6%77,232	62.6%139,676	223,300
1996	R	36.4%85,114	59.4%138,834	233,700
1994	R	32.7%68,172	56.9%118,537	208,240
1992	R	42.8%102,378	46.8%111,849	239,116
1990	R	47.8%91,677	51.7%99,003	191,647
1988	R	37.3%71,881	62.5%120,595	192,955
1986	R	41.1%74,053	56.5%101,799	180,277
1984	R	41.7%86,052	55.0%113,582	206,437
1982	R	28.7%52,011	70.8%128,274	181,084
1980	R	25.8%39,922	73.8%114,089	154,618
1978	R	44.4%55,176	55.4%68,811	124,187
1976	R	28.9%34,194	70.8%83,722	118,208

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	10.7%28,233	89.3%234,794	263,027
2020	R	41.3%146,068	54.0%191,112	353,986
2016	R	11.6%36,200	44.5%138,149	310,735
2014	R	46.1%129,431	48.2%135,445	281,024
2010	O	23.5%60,045	35.6%90,839	255,421
2008	D	47.9%151,767	46.7%147,814	316,646
2004	R	45.6%140,424	48.6%149,773	307,892
2002	R	10.5%24,133	78.3%179,438	229,257
1998	R	19.8%43,743	74.7%165,227	221,142
1996	R	10.4%23,977	77.0%177,893	230,907
1992	R	38.5%92,065	53.2%127,163	239,247
1990	R	32.7%61,152	67.3%125,806	186,958
1986	R	44.2%79,727	54.1%97,674	180,562
1984	R	28.5%58,804	71.2%146,919	206,438
1980	R	46.1%72,007	53.9%84,159	156,166
1978	R	24.2%29,574	75.8%92,783	122,357

As Anchorage drifted toward the Democrats for a fourth straight election, the rural boroughs around it swung as hard the other way.

Anchorage’s drift: R+15.9 (2008) → D+1.4 (2024) — Democratic-trending four straight cycles · MIT Election Lab / Akashic
Rare company: 1 of 3 U.S. cities over 100k trending Democratic all four cycles — with Metairie, LA and Rochester, MN · Akashic city-trend analysis
Largest rural reversal: Lake & Peninsula Borough: D+19.0 (2020) → R+10.5 (2024), a 29.5-pt swing to Trump · MIT Election Lab / Akashic
Statewide margin, 2024: R+13.1 — Republican every cycle since 1968 · MIT Election Lab
Median household income: $92,788 — 12th of 50, above the U.S. $80,734 · ACS 2024 5-year
2024 niche micro-targeting: Trump made a direct appeal to Coptic Christians on Oct 29 — among the most specific by any modern nominee · campaign social posts, Oct 2024

Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Wyoming

64.7twin score

2000–2008 trajectorypopulation scale≠ 2024 margin

Kansas

61.8twin score

2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ elasticity

Idaho

57.7twin score

2000–2008 trajectory% Black≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Largest cities in Alaska

Alaska at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Alaska

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Frequently asked questions

How did Alaska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Alaska voted Republican by 13.1 points (R+13.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 338,177 votes cast, 140,026 went Democratic and 184,458 went Republican.

When did Alaska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Alaska voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Alaska?

Alaska has a population of 735,706 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Alaska?

Median household income in Alaska is $92,788 — above the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.

What is the political history of Alaska?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Alaska from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.

Alaska, Alaska

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Alaska

Frequently asked questions