HarrisDemocratic15.2%528TrumpRepublican81.9%2,852OtherAll other candidates3.0%103
R+66.7- Lead
- 2,324
- Total
- 3,483
- vs nation
- R+65.3
- Turnout
- 67.8%
Akashiccounty
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1960–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.8% of 5,137 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.6%757TrumpRepublican76.1%2,801OtherAll other candidates3.4%124
R+55.5- Lead
- 2,044
- Total
- 3,682
- vs nation
- R+60.0
- Turnout
- 75.1%
ClintonDemocratic19.1%707TrumpRepublican71.3%2,632OtherAll other candidates9.6%354
R+52.1- Lead
- 1,925
- Total
- 3,693
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- 77.9%
ObamaDemocratic21.8%676RomneyRepublican73.0%2,258OtherAll other candidates5.2%160
R+51.1- Lead
- 1,582
- Total
- 3,094
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic19.6%698McCainRepublican77.4%2,763OtherAll other candidates3.1%109
R+57.8- Lead
- 2,065
- Total
- 3,570
- vs nation
- R+65.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic18.5%536BushRepublican77.7%2,248OtherAll other candidates3.8%109
R+59.2- Lead
- 1,712
- Total
- 2,893
- vs nation
- R+56.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic16.6%479BushRepublican73.5%2,128NaderGreen5.1%149
R+57.0- Lead
- 1,649
- Total
- 2,894
- vs nation
- R+57.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic22.7%571DoleRepublican61.5%1,545PerotReform11.1%278
R+38.8- Lead
- 974
- Total
- 2,512
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+66.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,0682024 5-year
- Population density
- 0.28 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 24,832 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,8822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rio Blanco County, CO · twin score 90.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.8%3,483 participants ÷ 5,137 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,692 | 4,740 | 77.9% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,682 | 4,901 | 75.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,483 | 5,137 | 67.8% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
65.9%
44,329 votes · D+31.8
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 49.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.9%
2,852 votes · R+66.7
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 77.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
44,329votes
65.9% of the vote · D+31.8
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 29,809 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
30,953votes
50.9% of the vote · R+1.9
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 22,930 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+9.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+31.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · −2.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+65.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+66.7 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +65.1 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+28.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+66.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 38 points more Republican than the rolls.
6,400 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−24 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −871 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,914 in average income, against $84,468 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.8 on average — 58 points more Democratic-leaning than Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK itself (R+66.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK29R+18.7
- Anchorage Municipality, AK28D+1.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK43
- Anchorage Municipality, AK23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −10 |
| 2012 | −108 |
| 2013 | −267 |
| 2014 | −136 |
| 2015 | −211 |
| 2016 | −38 |
| 2017 | −36 |
| 2018 | −59 |
| 2019 | −129 |
| 2021 | +138 |
| 2022 | −39 |
| 2023 | −3 |
| 2024 | +51 |
| 2025 | −24 |
Spanning a vast interior stretch near the Canadian border, Southeast Fairbanks Census Area is among the most sparsely populated jurisdictions in the U.S., and its 2024 presidential margin of R+66.7 places it in the top tier of partisan skew nationally.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 66.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 66.7 points.
A population of 7,068, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,882 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rio Blanco County and Oldham County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Rio Blanco County
Colorado
90.7twin score
2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ American ancestry
Oldham County
Texas
87.7twin score
2000–2008 trajectoryelasticity≠ 2024 margin
Armstrong County
Texas
87.7twin score
elasticity2000–2008 trajectory≠ 2024 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02240/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Alaska at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska voted Republican by 66.7 points (R+66.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,483 votes cast, 528 went Democratic and 2,852 went Republican.
When did Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska?
Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska has a population of 7,068 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska?
Median household income in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska is $73,882 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, Alaska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.