HarrisDemocratic57.0%8,348TrumpRepublican40.8%5,982OtherAll other candidates2.2%328
D+16.1- Lead
- 2,366
- Total
- 14,658
- vs nation
- D+17.6
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
White Bear Lake, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic57.4%8,699TrumpRepublican40.4%6,120OtherAll other candidates2.3%343
D+17.0- Lead
- 2,579
- Total
- 15,162
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.7%7,034TrumpRepublican40.9%5,790OtherAll other candidates9.4%1,335
D+8.8- Lead
- 1,244
- Total
- 14,159
- vs nation
- D+6.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic53.7%7,746RomneyRepublican43.8%6,311OtherAll other candidates2.5%365
D+10.0- Lead
- 1,435
- Total
- 14,422
- vs nation
- D+6.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.3%7,840McCainRepublican43.7%6,313OtherAll other candidates2.0%292
D+10.6- Lead
- 1,527
- Total
- 14,445
- vs nation
- D+3.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic50.8%7,360BushRepublican47.5%6,885OtherAll other candidates1.7%240
D+3.3- Lead
- 475
- Total
- 14,485
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+16.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,9082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,5542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Stillwater, MN · twin score 95.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +3.3% |
| 2008 | +10.6% |
| 2012 | +10.0% |
| 2016 | +8.8% |
| 2020 | +17.0% |
| 2024 | +16.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 57.0%Harris8,348 | 40.8%Trump5,982 | 2.2% | D+16.1 | R+0.9 | D+17.6 | 14,658 | |
| D | 57.4%Biden8,699 | 40.4%Trump6,120 | 2.3% | D+17.0 | D+8.2 | D+12.6 | 15,162 | |
| D | 49.7%Clinton7,034 | 40.9%Trump5,790 | 9.4% | D+8.8 | R+1.2 | D+6.7 | 14,159 | |
| D | 53.7%Obama7,746 | 43.8%Romney6,311 | 2.5% | D+10.0 | R+0.6 | D+6.1 | 14,422 | |
| D | 54.3%Obama7,840 | 43.7%McCain6,313 | 2.0% | D+10.6 | — | D+3.3 | 14,445 | |
| D | 50.8%Kerry7,360 | 47.5%Bush6,885 | 1.7% | D+3.3 | — | D+5.7 | 14,485 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.9%8,275 | 41.1%5,771 | 14,046 |
| 2020 | D | 59.0%7,952 | 41.0%5,530 | 13,482 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 57.5%7,823 | 42.5%5,786 | 13,609 |
White Bear Lake sits at the edge of Ramsey County's suburban fringe, where a predominantly white, middle-income electorate has trended competitive after decades of reliably Republican presidential margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.0 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.1 points.
A population of 23,908, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,554 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stillwater and Oakdale.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Stillwater
Minnesota
95.8twin score
college share2020–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Oakdale
Minnesota
91.6twin score
2024 margincollege share% Latino
Mounds View
Minnesota
91.5twin score
college share2024 margin12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
White Bear Lake, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2769970/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did White Bear Lake, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, White Bear Lake, Minnesota voted Democratic by 16.1 points (D+16.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 14,658 votes cast, 8,348 went Democratic and 5,982 went Republican.
How many people live in White Bear Lake, Minnesota?
White Bear Lake, Minnesota has a population of 23,908 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in White Bear Lake, Minnesota?
Median household income in White Bear Lake, Minnesota is $83,554 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of White Bear Lake, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in White Bear Lake, Minnesota from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.