- Lead
- 134,411
- Total
- 378,609
- vs nation
- D+37.0
Minnesota 4th Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 149,235
- Total
- 397,852
- vs nation
- D+33.1
- Lead
- 112,767
- Total
- 361,962
- vs nation
- D+29.1
- Lead
- 103,452
- Total
- 366,337
- vs nation
- D+24.4
- Lead
- 102,236
- Total
- 361,862
- vs nation
- D+21.0
- Lead
- 76,314
- Total
- 351,347
- vs nation
- D+24.2
- Lead
- 53,115
- Total
- 309,758
- vs nation
- D+16.6
- Lead
- 78,091
- Total
- 282,445
- vs nation
- D+19.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 713,3262024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,353 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 303 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,1862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 5, MN · twin score 91.2
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 4th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.9%
145,095 votes · D+40.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 67.6%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
70.8%
19,863 votes · R+48.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 59.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
268,903votes
67.6% of the vote · D+37.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 251,499 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
135,300votes
38.5% of the vote · D+21.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 127,071 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+37.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+35.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +35.5 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+28.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +13.9 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Anchored by St. Paul and its inner suburbs, Minnesota's 4th posted a 35.5-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a dense, diverse electorate that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 713,326, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,186 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 5 and Congressional District 2.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2704/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.