- Lead
- 9,036
- Total
- 43,989
- vs nation
- D+22.0
Minnesota 44th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 10,745
- Total
- 46,825
- vs nation
- D+18.5
- Lead
- 6,958
- Total
- 43,107
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Lead
- 5,301
- Total
- 43,726
- vs nation
- D+8.3
- Lead
- 5,300
- Total
- 43,236
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Lead
- 2,089
- Total
- 42,187
- vs nation
- D+7.4
- Lead
- 574
- Total
- 37,107
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Lead
- 4,617
- Total
- 32,893
- vs nation
- D+5.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,0402024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,825 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 30.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,9632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 66, MN · twin score 87.1
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 44th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.8%
13,513 votes · D+22.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 60.2%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
79.6%
2,814 votes · R+64.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 69.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
28,207votes
60.2% of the vote · D+22.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 25,982 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
19,829votes
47.0% of the vote · D+5.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 18,783 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+22.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +18.5 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+44.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +30.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 64.8%28,713 | 35.2%15,625 | 44,338 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+20.5, this 85,000-resident district ranks among Minnesota's most consistent Democratic performers, reflecting the dense urban and inner-suburban geography typical of high-turnout metro seats.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 64.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.5 points.
A population of 85,040, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,963 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 66 and Legislative (Senate) District 11.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 44th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.