- Lead
- 9,792
- Total
- 25,347
- vs nation
- D+40.1
Minnesota State House District 40B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,811
- Total
- 26,466
- vs nation
- D+32.6
- Lead
- 6,553
- Total
- 24,123
- vs nation
- D+25.1
- Lead
- 5,417
- Total
- 24,699
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Lead
- 5,027
- Total
- 24,577
- vs nation
- D+13.2
- Lead
- 3,270
- Total
- 24,363
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Lead
- 1,642
- Total
- 22,132
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Lead
- 3,532
- Total
- 20,478
- vs nation
- D+8.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+38.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,1832024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,653 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,6602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 40A, MN · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 40B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
68.0%
17,240 votes · D+38.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 67.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
74.6%
1,943 votes · R+56.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 64.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
17,832votes
67.4% of the vote · D+37.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,240 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
10,382votes
42.6% of the vote · D+13.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 10,242 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+40.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +32.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+36.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +24.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 71.2%14,571 | 28.8%5,886 | 20,457 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+38.6, this Minneapolis-area district ranks among the most consistently one-sided constituencies in the state legislature, leaving little competitive ground for either party.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.6 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 56.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.6 points.
A population of 42,183, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,660 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 40A and State House District 46B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 40B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2740B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.