- Lead
- 6,722
- Total
- 25,064
- vs nation
- D+28.3
Minnesota State House District 40A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,628
- Total
- 25,834
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Lead
- 3,546
- Total
- 24,481
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Lead
- 1,990
- Total
- 25,323
- vs nation
- D+4.0
- Lead
- 1,550
- Total
- 25,294
- vs nation
- R+1.1
- Lead
- 305
- Total
- 25,340
- vs nation
- D+1.3
- Lead
- 1,478
- Total
- 23,151
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Lead
- 953
- Total
- 21,079
- vs nation
- R+4.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,8602024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,081 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 20.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $111,0722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 42B, MN · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 40A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
61.9%
15,525 votes · D+26.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 61.5%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
79.2%
2,382 votes · R+65.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,886votes
61.5% of the vote · D+25.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 15,525 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
12,650votes
49.9% of the vote · R+1.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 12,481 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+28.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +21.2 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+45.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +37.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 71.2%14,805 | 28.8%5,981 | 20,786 |
District 40A sits in the inner suburbs of Hennepin County, where dense residential neighborhoods and high educational attainment have produced presidential margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.8 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 65.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.8 points.
A population of 42,860, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $111,072 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42B and State House District 47A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 40A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2740A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.