- Lead
- 8,737
- Total
- 28,992
- vs nation
- D+31.6
Minnesota State House District 49A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,676
- Total
- 28,824
- vs nation
- D+25.6
- Lead
- 5,171
- Total
- 26,768
- vs nation
- D+17.2
- Lead
- 2,548
- Total
- 27,287
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Lead
- 2,924
- Total
- 26,535
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Lead
- 433
- Total
- 26,273
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 711
- Total
- 23,538
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Lead
- 1,119
- Total
- 21,173
- vs nation
- R+3.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+30.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,6152024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,079 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 20.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $119,1062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 42B, MN · twin score 99.3
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 49A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63.9%
18,414 votes · D+30.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 63.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
78.2%
1,567 votes · R+68.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 71.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
18,471votes
63.7% of the vote · D+30.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 18,414 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
12,768votes
48.6% of the vote · D+1.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 12,702 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+31.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +25.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+49.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.9 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +35.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.2%15,496 | 32.8%7,580 | 23,076 |
District 49A posts presidential margins exceeding 30 points, reflecting the dense, highly educated urban composition typical of inner-ring Minneapolis neighborhoods where Democratic alignment has deepened across successive election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 68.9 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 30.1 points.
A population of 42,615, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $119,106 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42B and State House District 50A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 49A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2749A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.