- Lead
- 8,909
- Total
- 28,616
- vs nation
- D+32.6
Minnesota State House District 45B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,196
- Total
- 30,022
- vs nation
- D+26.2
- Lead
- 5,463
- Total
- 27,069
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Lead
- 2,851
- Total
- 27,591
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Lead
- 3,232
- Total
- 26,831
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Lead
- 681
- Total
- 26,542
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Lead
- 516
- Total
- 23,764
- vs nation
- R+2.7
- Lead
- 1,283
- Total
- 21,352
- vs nation
- R+2.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+31.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,9962024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,830 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 23.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $130,9842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.2 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 49A, MN · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 45B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
64.4%
18,419 votes · D+31.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 64.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
79.3%
1,583 votes · R+70.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 72.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
19,323votes
64.4% of the vote · D+30.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 18,419 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
12,793votes
48.2% of the vote · D+2.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 12,728 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+32.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+31.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +26.2 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+50.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+70.2 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +37.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.2%15,635 | 32.8%7,648 | 23,283 |
Anchored in Minneapolis, 45B recorded a 31.1-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the dense, urban electorate typical of core city legislative seats in Hennepin County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.1 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 70.2 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.1 points.
A population of 42,996, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $130,984 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 49A and State House District 50A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 45B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2745B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.