- Lead
- 6,503
- Total
- 24,647
- vs nation
- D+27.9
Minnesota State House District 49B
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,412
- Total
- 25,586
- vs nation
- D+20.6
- Lead
- 3,050
- Total
- 23,050
- vs nation
- D+11.1
- Lead
- 618
- Total
- 23,721
- vs nation
- R+1.2
- Lead
- 984
- Total
- 23,044
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Lead
- 1,181
- Total
- 22,986
- vs nation
- R+2.7
- Lead
- 1,950
- Total
- 20,626
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Lead
- 133
- Total
- 18,399
- vs nation
- R+9.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,7192024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,899 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 22.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $131,7682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.5 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 42A, MN · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 49B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
61.8%
15,222 votes · D+26.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 61.5%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
79.3%
1,472 votes · R+70.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 74.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,724votes
61.5% of the vote · D+25.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 15,222 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
11,951votes
52.0% of the vote · R+5.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 11,883 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+27.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +20.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+50.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+70.5 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +41.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 67.2%15,534 | 32.8%7,599 | 23,133 |
District 49B's D+26.4 presidential margin in 2024 places it among Minnesota's most reliably Democratic legislative seats, reflecting the high-density, highly educated urban core typical of inner-ring Twin Cities neighborhoods.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.4 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 70.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.4 points.
A population of 42,719, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $131,768 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42A and State House District 47B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 49B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2749B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.