- Lead
- 5,222
- Total
- 20,626
- vs nation
- D+26.8
Minnesota State House District 44A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,430
- Total
- 22,261
- vs nation
- D+24.4
- Lead
- 4,509
- Total
- 20,348
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Lead
- 3,387
- Total
- 21,025
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Lead
- 3,017
- Total
- 21,043
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Lead
- 1,540
- Total
- 21,011
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Lead
- 303
- Total
- 18,952
- vs nation
- D+1.1
- Lead
- 2,108
- Total
- 17,233
- vs nation
- D+3.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,1732024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,775 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,1962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 44B, MN · twin score 94.6
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 44A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
63.3%
14,084 votes · D+28.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 61.4%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
78.8%
1,827 votes · R+63.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 67.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
14,084votes
63.3% of the vote · D+28.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 12,662 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
9,628votes
45.8% of the vote · D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 9,499 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+26.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +24.4 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+43.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.1 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +30.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 71.2%14,567 | 28.8%5,885 | 20,452 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+25.3, District 44A ranks among Minnesota's more reliably blue legislative districts, suggesting a dense, urban-leaning electorate where statewide candidates can build significant vote margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 63.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.3 points.
A population of 42,173, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,196 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 44B and State House District 66B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 44A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2744A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.