- Lead
- 268
- Total
- 55,208
- vs nation
- D+2.0
Minnesota 33rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 355
- Total
- 54,474
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Lead
- 2,453
- Total
- 48,224
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Lead
- 3,209
- Total
- 47,629
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Lead
- 1,450
- Total
- 45,749
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Lead
- 4,658
- Total
- 43,097
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Lead
- 3,208
- Total
- 36,098
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Lead
- 2,673
- Total
- 29,191
- vs nation
- D+0.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,0422024 5-year
- Population density
- 475 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 179 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $107,9672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 36, MN · twin score 95.4
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 33rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.6%
5,626 votes · D+27.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 57.1%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
83.7%
1,021 votes · R+69.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 79.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
27,144votes
49.2% of the vote · D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 26,799 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,876votes
48.7% of the vote · D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 26,444 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+13.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.4 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +9.9 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+50.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+69.8 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +46.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.8%27,471 | 45.2%22,684 | 50,155 |
| 2020 | D | 52.7%24,690 | 47.3%22,162 | 46,852 |
Minnesota 33rd State Senate District sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 69.8 points in 1904. The 2024 margin was 0.5 points.
A population of 85,042, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $107,967 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 36 and State Senate District 41.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 33rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.