- Lead
- 6,430
- Total
- 50,842
- vs nation
- D+14.1
Minnesota 34th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,690
- Total
- 50,013
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Lead
- 1,184
- Total
- 42,202
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Lead
- 3,400
- Total
- 44,107
- vs nation
- R+11.6
- Lead
- 2,660
- Total
- 42,746
- vs nation
- R+13.5
- Lead
- 6,665
- Total
- 42,938
- vs nation
- R+13.1
- Lead
- 7,256
- Total
- 38,489
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Lead
- 3,211
- Total
- 33,938
- vs nation
- R+18.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,0382024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,165 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 73 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $124,1332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 42, MN · twin score 96.2
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 34th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
55.0%
27,982 votes · D+12.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 54.5%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
83.7%
2,939 votes · R+77.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 81.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
27,982votes
55.0% of the vote · D+12.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 27,254 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
24,593votes
57.3% of the vote · R+15.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 24,083 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+14.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +6.9 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+57.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+77.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +51.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 66.3%30,524 | 33.7%15,539 | 46,063 |
Minnesota SD-34 sits in the Minneapolis-Saint Paul metro and has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic presidential margins, reflecting the suburban and urban density that defines its electoral character.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.6 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 77.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.6 points.
A population of 85,038, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,133 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 42 and State Senate District 49.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 34th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.