McNair, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +26.4% |
| 2008 | +38.9% |
| 2012 | +38.3% |
| 2016 | +51.1% |
| 2020 | +51.6% |
| 2024 | +40.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 68.5%Harris6,079 | 28.1%Trump2,491 | 3.4% | D+40.4 | R+11.2 | D+41.9 | 8,871 | |
| D | 74.8%Biden6,292 | 23.2%Trump1,948 | 2.0% | D+51.6 | D+0.5 | D+47.2 | 8,412 | |
| D | 72.4%Clinton5,053 | 21.3%Trump1,486 | 6.3% | D+51.1 | D+12.9 | D+49.0 | 6,975 | |
| D | 68.5%Obama4,404 | 30.2%Romney1,941 | 1.4% | D+38.3 | R+0.6 | D+34.4 | 6,433 | |
| D | 69.1%Obama4,113 | 30.2%McCain1,798 | 0.7% | D+38.9 | D+12.5 | D+31.6 | 5,951 | |
| D | 62.8%Kerry3,256 | 36.4%Bush1,887 | 0.7% | D+26.4 | — | D+28.9 | 5,181 |
McNair is a census-designated place in the Dulles technology corridor where a highly educated, majority-minority population and rapid household growth have made it a closely watched precinct for tracking Northern Virginia's shifting suburban electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.6 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 11.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.4 points.
A population of 22,655, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $122,778 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tysons and North Laurel.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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McNair, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5148450/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.