Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic68.0%1,728TrumpRepublican29.1%739OtherAll other candidates3.0%75
D+38.9
Lead
989
Total
2,542
vs nation
D+40.4
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic67.1%1,732TrumpRepublican30.9%798OtherAll other candidates2.0%52
D+36.2
Lead
934
Total
2,582
vs nation
D+31.7
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic57.2%1,343TrumpRepublican36.2%851OtherAll other candidates6.6%154
D+21.0
Lead
492
Total
2,348
vs nation
D+18.9
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic53.9%1,229RomneyRepublican44.8%1,021OtherAll other candidates1.4%31
D+9.1
Lead
208
Total
2,281
vs nation
D+5.3
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic55.3%1,269McCainRepublican44.0%1,011OtherAll other candidates0.7%16
D+11.2
Lead
258
Total
2,296
vs nation
D+4.0
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic48.2%1,005BushRepublican51.2%1,068OtherAll other candidates0.7%14
R+3.0
Lead
63
Total
2,087
vs nation
R+0.6
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+38.9MIT Election Lab
Population
4,3922024 5-year
Median household income
$192,2502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
73.2%2024 5-year
Black
4.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+38.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+3.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−3.0%
2008
+11.2%
2012
+9.1%
2016
+21.0%
2020
+36.2%
2024
+38.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
68.0%Harris1,728
29.1%Trump739
3.0%
D+38.9
—
D+40.4
2,542
D
67.1%Biden1,732
30.9%Trump798
2.0%
D+36.2
—
D+31.7
2,582
D
57.2%Clinton1,343
36.2%Trump851
6.6%
D+21.0
D+11.8
D+18.9
2,348
D
53.9%Obama1,229
44.8%Romney1,021
1.4%
D+9.1
R+2.1
D+5.3
2,281
D
55.3%Obama1,269
44.0%McCain1,011
0.7%
D+11.2
—
D+4.0
2,296
R
48.2%Kerry1,005
51.2%Bush1,068
0.7%
R+3.0
—
R+0.6
2,087
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
68.9%1,694
31.1%763
2,457
Hayfield sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.9 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 3.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.9 points.
A population of 4,392, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $192,250 describe the city.
In 2024, Hayfield, Virginia voted Democratic by 38.9 points (D+38.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,542 votes cast, 1,728 went Democratic and 739 went Republican.
When did Hayfield, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Hayfield, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Hayfield, Virginia?
Hayfield, Virginia has a population of 4,392 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hayfield, Virginia?
Median household income in Hayfield, Virginia is $192,250 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Hayfield, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Hayfield, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.