Fair Oaks, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +7.2% |
| 2008 | +21.0% |
| 2012 | +20.0% |
| 2016 | +37.3% |
| 2020 | +42.4% |
| 2024 | +34.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 65.2%Harris10,447 | 30.9%Trump4,954 | 3.8% | D+34.3 | R+8.1 | D+35.8 | 16,012 | |
| D | 70.2%Biden11,317 | 27.8%Trump4,477 | 2.1% | D+42.4 | D+5.1 | D+38.0 | 16,129 | |
| D | 65.2%Clinton9,550 | 27.9%Trump4,088 | 7.0% | D+37.3 | D+17.3 | D+35.2 | 14,657 | |
| D | 59.3%Obama8,341 | 39.3%Romney5,531 | 1.4% | D+20.0 | R+1.1 | D+16.1 | 14,064 | |
| D | 60.1%Obama7,993 | 39.0%McCain5,194 | 0.9% | D+21.0 | D+13.8 | D+13.8 | 13,307 | |
| D | 53.2%Kerry6,331 | 46.0%Bush5,471 | 0.8% | D+7.2 | — | D+9.7 | 11,901 |
Fair Oaks sits within Fairfax County's dense professional corridor, where high concentrations of government contractors and federal workers have historically driven above-average turnout and consistent ticket-splitting in suburban Virginia contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.3 points.
A population of 35,545, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $123,947 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Merrifield and Tysons.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Fair Oaks, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5126875/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.