akashic
1876–2024
Bull Run·Virginia

Bull Run moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate between 2020 and 2024.

20082024·5 elections
VA
Bull Run
HarrisD+7.6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic52.2%2,437
Donald TrumpRepublican44.6%2,084
OtherAll other candidates3.2%151
D+60
R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: +7.6% in 2024.flipped D · 2016+7.6%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−13.5%
2012−20.1%
2016+0.9%
2020+18.0%
2024+7.6%
DemocraticRepublican
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+7.6%
2,4372,0844,672
D
+18.0%
3,1572,1785,442
D
+0.9%
1,9891,9534,215
R
−20.1%
1,5712,3633,934
R
−13.5%
1,7832,3424,151

Demographics

Demographic profile

Demographic Profile

Key indicators compared across containing geographies

Demographic Profile. Key indicators compared across containing geographies. ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error. Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
IndicatorBull RunCityVirginiaStateUnited StatesNation
Race & Ethnicity
White58.6%60.2%61.0%
Black4.0%18.6%12.2%
Asian21.3%6.9%6.0%
Two or more races14.6%9.5%12.6%
Other race1.5%4.8%8.2%
Hispanic or Latino12.8%11.0%19.3%
Income & Age
Median household income$241,933$93,170$84,427
Poverty rate4.3%10.0%12.5%
Median age42.439.339.1
Age 18–248.3%9.2%9.2%
Age 65 and older15.1%16.7%17.2%
Education & Language
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)72.5%42.2%35.7%
Speaks a non-English language at home23.8%17.4%22.3%
Spanish7.7%7.9%13.6%
Other Indo-European6.2%2.6%2.0%
Korean3.0%0.7%0.3%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)2.7%0.7%1.1%
Ancestry
Largest ancestryEnglish 10.2%English 12.0%German 12.5%
2nd-largest ancestryGerman 10.1%German 10.1%English 9.5%
3rd-largest ancestryIrish 9.5%Irish 9.1%Irish 9.4%
Religion
Catholic17.0%County context10.2%18.6%
Evangelical Protestant12.8%County context19.9%16.5%
Unaffiliated or unclaimed52.1%County context54.3%51.5%
Mainline Protestant6.9%County context8.4%5.2%
Muslim5.9%County context2.0%1.3%

ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.

Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.

2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.2%
German
10.1%
Irish
9.5%
Italian
4.5%
American
3.3%
Polish
2.3%
Scottish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
76.2%
speak English only
Spanish7.7%
Other Indo-European6.2%
Korean3.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)2.7%
Arabic1.5%
Vietnamese0.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.6%
German or other West Germanic0.5%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.3%
Other languages0.3%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.2%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic
17.0%
Evangelical Protestant
12.8%
Mainline Protestant
6.9%
Muslim
5.9%
Latter-day Saints
1.6%
Orthodox Christian
1.1%
Jewish
0.7%
Buddhist
0.6%
Hindu
0.5%
Other Christian
0.3%
Other faiths
0.3%
Black Protestant
0.2%
Unaffiliated or not counted52.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.

Bull Run sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 20.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.6 points.

A population of 7,823, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $241,933 describe the city.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bull Run, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5111224/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Bull Run, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bull Run, Virginia voted Democratic by 7.6 points (D+7.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,672 votes cast, 2,437 went Democratic and 2,084 went Republican.
What is Bull Run, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Bull Run, Virginia in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the city has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 2 times, and other 0 times.
When did Bull Run, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bull Run, Virginia voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Bull Run, Virginia?
Bull Run, Virginia has a population of 7,823 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bull Run, Virginia?
Median household income in Bull Run, Virginia is $241,933 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Bull Run, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Bull Run, Virginia from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican. The city's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.