Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic42.2%738TrumpRepublican56.7%992OtherAll other candidates1.1%20
R+14.5
Lead
254
Total
1,750
vs nation
R+13.0
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic46.5%832TrumpRepublican51.6%924OtherAll other candidates1.8%33
R+5.1
Lead
92
Total
1,789
vs nation
R+9.6
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic41.1%639TrumpRepublican54.6%848OtherAll other candidates4.3%67
R+13.4
Lead
209
Total
1,554
vs nation
R+15.5
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic40.7%642RomneyRepublican58.3%920OtherAll other candidates1.1%17
R+17.6
Lead
278
Total
1,579
vs nation
R+21.5
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic44.8%722McCainRepublican54.3%876OtherAll other candidates0.9%14
R+9.6
Lead
154
Total
1,612
vs nation
R+16.8
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic43.2%677BushRepublican55.8%875OtherAll other candidates1.0%15
R+12.6
Lead
198
Total
1,567
vs nation
R+10.2
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+14.5MIT Election Lab
Population
4,1532024 5-year
Median household income
$152,4722024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+17.6 in 2012MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−12.6%
2008
−9.6%
2012
−17.6%
2016
−13.4%
2020
−5.1%
2024
−14.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
42.2%Harris738
56.7%Trump992
1.1%
R+14.5
R+9.4
R+13.0
1,750
R
46.5%Biden832
51.6%Trump924
1.8%
R+5.1
D+8.3
R+9.6
1,789
R
41.1%Clinton639
54.6%Trump848
4.3%
R+13.4
D+4.2
R+15.5
1,554
R
40.7%Obama642
58.3%Romney920
1.1%
R+17.6
R+8.1
R+21.5
1,579
R
44.8%Obama722
54.3%McCain876
0.9%
R+9.6
—
R+16.8
1,612
R
43.2%Kerry677
55.8%Bush875
1.0%
R+12.6
—
R+10.2
1,567
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
O
0.0%0
0.0%0
1,700
Locust Valley sits on Nassau County's North Shore, historically home to old-money estates and a voting pattern that has leaned Republican in federal races even as the surrounding suburbs have trended more competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 17.6 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.5 points.
A population of 4,153, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $152,472 describe the city.
In 2024, Locust Valley, New York voted Republican by 14.5 points (R+14.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,750 votes cast, 738 went Democratic and 992 went Republican.
How many people live in Locust Valley, New York?
Locust Valley, New York has a population of 4,153 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Locust Valley, New York?
Median household income in Locust Valley, New York is $152,472 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Locust Valley, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Locust Valley, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.