† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupScottsdaleArizonaUnited States
German18.8%12.6%12.5%
English14.9%10.2%9.5%
Irish13.4%8.9%9.4%
Italian6.7%4.1%4.8%
American6.4%4.0%5.3%
Polish3.3%2.0%2.2%
French2.6%1.8%1.6%
Scottish2.6%1.7%1.3%
Mexican8.9%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.7%1.8%
Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%
Spaniard0.2%0.5%—
Asian Indian1.4%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.9%0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.9%0.7%0.9%
Vietnamese0.7%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.3%0.3%0.4%
Japanese0.2%0.2%0.2%
African American†1.9%3.6%9.9%
African0.2%0.3%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Scottsdale
Arizona
United States
Median age
49
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
6.4%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.4%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Scottsdale
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$110,886
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.3%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
61.9%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Scottsdale
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.0%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
5.7%
19.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.4%
1.0%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.0%
0.7%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Scottsdale
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Scottsdale, Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−18.9%
2008
−14.9%
2012
−22.1%
2016
−7.6%
2020
−3.5%
2024
−8.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
45.2%Harris68,950
54.0%Trump82,292
0.8%
R+8.7
R+5.2
R+7.3
152,525
R
47.7%Biden74,387
51.2%Trump79,868
1.1%
R+3.5
D+4.1
R+8.0
155,959
R
43.2%Clinton54,018
50.8%Trump63,556
6.1%
R+7.6
D+14.5
R+9.7
125,148
R
37.9%Obama43,921
60.0%Romney69,499
2.1%
R+22.1
R+7.2
R+25.9
115,835
R
42.0%Obama48,464
56.9%McCain65,696
1.1%
R+14.9
D+3.9
R+22.2
115,415
R
40.1%Kerry40,605
58.9%Bush59,734
1.0%
R+18.9
—
R+16.4
101,380
Scottsdale's high-income, college-educated electorate has shifted measurably in competitive cycles, making it a closely watched bellwether within Maricopa County's broader political realignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 22.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.7 points.
A population of 243,821, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $110,886 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huntington Beach and Mission Viejo.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Scottsdale, Arizona voted Republican by 8.7 points (R+8.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 152,525 votes cast, 68,950 went Democratic and 82,292 went Republican.
How many people live in Scottsdale, Arizona?
Scottsdale, Arizona has a population of 243,821 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scottsdale, Arizona?
Median household income in Scottsdale, Arizona is $110,886 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Scottsdale, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Scottsdale, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
