† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupGuadalupeArizonaUnited States
Mexican62.8%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.7%0.7%1.8%
Guatemalan1.2%0.4%0.5%
Spaniard1.2%0.5%—
Cuban1.0%0.3%0.7%
Salvadoran1.0%0.3%0.7%
Spanish1.0%0.4%—
Colombian0.5%0.2%0.4%
German5.0%12.6%12.5%
English3.9%10.2%9.5%
Irish3.5%8.9%9.4%
Italian1.8%4.1%4.8%
American1.7%4.0%5.3%
Polish0.9%2.0%2.2%
French0.7%1.8%1.6%
Scottish0.7%1.7%1.3%
African American†2.2%3.6%9.9%
African0.2%0.3%0.5%
Asian Indian0.3%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.2%0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.7%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Guadalupe
Arizona
United States
Median age
32.4
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
6.7%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.2%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Guadalupe
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$51,354
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
27.1%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
11.1%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Guadalupe
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
51.4%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
47.5%
19.3%
13.6%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
1.2%
0.4%
0.6%
Other languages
2.5%
2.0%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Guadalupe
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Guadalupe, Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+56.2%
2008
+59.8%
2012
+83.4%
2016
+78.4%
2020
+74.9%
2024
+64.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
82.0%Harris1,317
17.2%Trump277
0.7%
D+64.8
R+10.1
D+66.2
1,606
D
86.7%Biden1,629
11.8%Trump222
1.5%
D+74.9
R+3.5
D+70.4
1,879
D
87.1%Clinton1,360
8.7%Trump136
4.2%
D+78.4
R+5.0
D+76.3
1,561
D
90.6%Obama1,376
7.2%Romney110
2.1%
D+83.4
D+23.6
D+79.5
1,518
D
79.5%Obama1,107
19.7%McCain274
0.9%
D+59.8
D+3.6
D+52.5
1,393
D
77.6%Kerry930
21.5%Bush257
0.9%
D+56.2
—
D+58.6
1,198
Guadalupe's population is predominantly Hispanic and Yaqui Native American, making it one of the most ethnically distinct municipalities in the Phoenix metro — a demographic profile that shapes its voting patterns distinctly from surrounding suburban neighbors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.4 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.8 points.
A population of 5,272, a 3% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,354 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tolleson and Alondra Park.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Guadalupe, Arizona voted Democratic by 64.8 points (D+64.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,606 votes cast, 1,317 went Democratic and 277 went Republican.
How many people live in Guadalupe, Arizona?
Guadalupe, Arizona has a population of 5,272 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Guadalupe, Arizona?
Median household income in Guadalupe, Arizona is $51,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Guadalupe, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Guadalupe, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
