† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBuckeyeArizonaUnited States
German13.1%12.6%12.5%
English10.3%10.2%9.5%
Irish9.3%8.9%9.4%
Italian4.6%4.1%4.8%
American4.4%4.0%5.3%
Polish2.3%2.0%2.2%
French1.8%1.8%1.6%
Scottish1.8%1.7%1.3%
Mexican35.2%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.9%0.7%1.8%
Guatemalan0.7%0.4%0.5%
Spaniard0.7%0.5%—
Cuban0.5%0.3%0.7%
Salvadoran0.5%0.3%0.7%
Spanish0.5%0.4%—
Colombian0.3%0.2%0.4%
African American†5.5%3.6%9.9%
African0.5%0.3%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Asian Indian0.5%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.3%0.7%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%0.4%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Buckeye
Arizona
United States
Median age
35.7
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
6.6%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.8%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Buckeye
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$99,486
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.0%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
24.8%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Buckeye
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
26.4%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
23.5%
19.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Buckeye
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Buckeye, Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−21.9%
2008
−19.1%
2012
−21.1%
2016
−18.8%
2020
−14.5%
2024
−19.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.9%Harris17,878
59.2%Trump26,531
0.9%
R+19.3
R+4.9
R+17.8
44,811
R
42.1%Biden15,938
56.5%Trump21,416
1.4%
R+14.5
D+4.4
R+18.9
37,901
R
37.3%Clinton8,345
56.1%Trump12,554
6.6%
R+18.8
D+2.3
R+20.9
22,364
R
38.4%Obama5,905
59.5%Romney9,148
2.1%
R+21.1
R+2.0
R+25.0
15,373
R
39.6%Obama5,237
58.7%McCain7,761
1.7%
R+19.1
D+2.8
R+26.4
13,228
R
38.1%Kerry4,550
60.1%Bush7,166
1.8%
R+21.9
—
R+19.5
11,929
Buckeye's population more than doubled between 2010 and 2020, reshaping its electorate with an influx of younger families and first-time homeowners drawn by affordable housing on the Maricopa County fringe.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 21.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.3 points.
A population of 104,923, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,486 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Menifee and Pasadena.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Buckeye, Arizona voted Republican by 19.3 points (R+19.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,811 votes cast, 17,878 went Democratic and 26,531 went Republican.
How many people live in Buckeye, Arizona?
Buckeye, Arizona has a population of 104,923 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Buckeye, Arizona?
Median household income in Buckeye, Arizona is $99,486 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Buckeye, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Buckeye, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
