HarrisDemocratic23.6%4,154TrumpRepublican75.6%13,314OliverNonpartisan0.3%58
R+52.0- Lead
- 9,160
- Total
- 17,601
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- 60.2%
Akashiccounty
Guernsey County, OH
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.2% of 29,593 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic25.1%4,577TrumpRepublican73.5%13,407JorgensenLibertarian1.0%177
R+48.4- Lead
- 8,830
- Total
- 18,230
- vs nation
- R+52.9
- Turnout
- 60.7%
ClintonDemocratic25.9%4,359TrumpRepublican67.9%11,445JohnsonLibertarian3.3%549
R+42.0- Lead
- 7,086
- Total
- 16,852
- vs nation
- R+44.1
- Turnout
- 55.6%
ObamaDemocratic43.7%7,450RomneyRepublican52.7%8,993JohnsonLibertarian1.0%174
R+9.0- Lead
- 1,543
- Total
- 17,050
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.9%7,625McCainRepublican52.9%9,197OtherAll other candidates3.2%553
R+9.0- Lead
- 1,572
- Total
- 17,375
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.5%7,768BushRepublican55.8%9,962OtherAll other candidates0.6%110
R+12.3- Lead
- 2,194
- Total
- 17,840
- vs nation
- R+9.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.1%6,643BushRepublican53.0%8,181NaderGreen2.6%405
R+10.0- Lead
- 1,538
- Total
- 15,430
- vs nation
- R+10.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.6%6,731DoleRepublican39.5%5,970PerotReform14.9%2,251
D+5.0- Lead
- 761
- Total
- 15,108
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,2232024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,4782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Perry County, OH · twin score 95.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.2%17,814 participants ÷ 29,593 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.1%–44.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,852 | 30,303 | 55.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,923 | 30,349 | 42.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 18,383 | 30,267 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,433 | 29,843 | 41.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,814 | 29,593 | 60.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
70 precincts · 17,594 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRECINCT RICHLANDPRECINCT RICHLAND | 187 | 669 | 6 | 862 | 21.7% | 77.6% | R+55.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRECINCT OLD WASHINGTON/WILLSPRECINCT OLD WASHINGTON/WILLS | 123 | 607 | 10 | 740 | 16.6% | 82.0% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE CPRECINCT CAMBRIDGE C | 185 | 542 | 4 | 731 | 25.3% | 74.1% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE APRECINCT CAMBRIDGE A | 183 | 538 | 5 | 726 | 25.2% | 74.1% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ADAMS APRECINCT ADAMS A | 120 | 566 | 9 | 695 | 17.3% | 81.4% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JACKSON BPRECINCT JACKSON B | 134 | 505 | 1 | 640 | 20.9% | 78.9% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MONROE/WHEELINGPRECINCT MONROE/WHEELING | 114 | 516 | 3 | 633 | 18.0% | 81.5% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JACKSON APRECINCT JACKSON A | 168 | 447 | 4 | 619 | 27.1% | 72.2% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE BPRECINCT CAMBRIDGE B | 159 | 439 | 3 | 601 | 26.5% | 73.0% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WESTLAND BPRECINCT WESTLAND B | 120 | 471 | 4 | 595 | 20.2% | 79.2% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 3-APRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 3-A | 191 | 392 | 2 | 585 | 32.6% | 67.0% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 4-BPRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 4-B | 205 | 359 | 4 | 568 | 36.1% | 63.2% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT WESTLAND APRECINCT WESTLAND A | 123 | 441 | 4 | 568 | 21.7% | 77.6% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 3-BPRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 3-B | 185 | 370 | 3 | 558 | 33.2% | 66.3% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CUMBERLAND/SPENCERPRECINCT CUMBERLAND/SPENCER | 88 | 449 | 4 | 541 | 16.3% | 83.0% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT JEFFERSON/MADISONPRECINCT JEFFERSON/MADISON | 85 | 445 | 2 | 532 | 16.0% | 83.6% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BYESVILLE BPRECINCT BYESVILLE B | 142 | 378 | 5 | 525 | 27.0% | 72.0% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LIBERTYPRECINCT LIBERTY | 104 | 404 | 2 | 510 | 20.4% | 79.2% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT QUAKER CITY/MILLWOODPRECINCT QUAKER CITY/MILLWOOD | 68 | 414 | 3 | 485 | 14.0% | 85.4% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 4-APRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 4-A | 169 | 312 | 3 | 484 | 34.9% | 64.5% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LONDONDERRY/WASHINGTONPRECINCT LONDONDERRY/WASHINGTON | 85 | 391 | 4 | 480 | 17.7% | 81.5% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 1-APRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 1-A | 190 | 285 | 1 | 476 | 39.9% | 59.9% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CENTER BPRECINCT CENTER B | 73 | 391 | 3 | 467 | 15.6% | 83.7% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VALLEY APRECINCT VALLEY A | 86 | 370 | 6 | 462 | 18.6% | 80.1% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PLEASANT CITY/VALLEY BPRECINCT PLEASANT CITY/VALLEY B | 120 | 337 | 1 | 458 | 26.2% | 73.6% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CENTER APRECINCT CENTER A | 81 | 370 | 1 | 452 | 17.9% | 81.9% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BYESVILLE APRECINCT BYESVILLE A | 94 | 285 | 6 | 385 | 24.4% | 74.0% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 2-BPRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 2-B | 117 | 259 | 3 | 379 | 30.9% | 68.3% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT ADAMS BPRECINCT ADAMS B | 99 | 241 | 3 | 343 | 28.9% | 70.3% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT FAIRVIEW/OXFORDPRECINCT FAIRVIEW/OXFORD | 53 | 279 | 0 | 332 | 16.0% | 84.0% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 1-BPRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 1-B | 98 | 191 | 4 | 293 | 33.4% | 65.2% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 2-APRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 2-A | 90 | 194 | 7 | 291 | 30.9% | 66.7% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT KNOXPRECINCT KNOX | 48 | 230 | 2 | 280 | 17.1% | 82.1% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SENECAVILLEPRECINCT SENECAVILLE | 39 | 133 | 3 | 175 | 22.3% | 76.0% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT LORE CITYPRECINCT LORE CITY | 28 | 94 | 1 | 123 | 22.8% | 76.4% | R+53.7 |
| PRECINCT ADAMS A39_39059059ABA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT ADAMS B39_39059059ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BYESVILLE A39_39059059ABM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BYESVILLE B39_39059059ABO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 1-A39_39059059AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 1-B39_39059059AAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 2-A39_39059059AAG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 2-B39_39059059AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 3-A39_39059059AAP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 3-B39_39059059AAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 4-A39_39059059AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE 4-B39_39059059AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE A39_39059059ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE B39_39059059ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAMBRIDGE C39_39059059ABE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CENTER A39_39059059ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CENTER B39_39059059ABI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CUMBERLAND/SPENCER39_39059059ACG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT FAIRVIEW/OXFORD39_39059059ACB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JACKSON A39_39059059ABL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JACKSON B39_39059059ABK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT JEFFERSON/MADISON39_39059059ABQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT KNOX39_39059059ABR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LIBERTY39_39059059ABS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LONDONDERRY/WASHINGTON39_39059059ABU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT LORE CITY39_39059059ACD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MONROE/WHEELING39_39059059ACA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT OLD WASHINGTON/WILLS39_39059059ACR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PLEASANT CITY/VALLEY B39_39059059ACI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT RICHLAND39_39059059ACE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SALESVILLE/QUAKER CITY/MILLWOOD39_39059059ABX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SENECAVILLE39_39059059ACF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VALLEY A39_39059059ACK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WESTLAND A39_39059059ACO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT WESTLAND B39_39059059ACP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −14.5% |
| 1896 | −13.9% |
| 1900 | −22.5% |
| 1904 | −34.5% |
| 1908 | −18.2% |
| 1912 | −7.7% |
| 1916 | +0.9% |
| 1920 | −11.6% |
| 1924 | −35.7% |
| 1928 | −49.5% |
| 1932 | +1.5% |
| 1936 | +14.3% |
| 1940 | −7.5% |
| 1944 | −15.4% |
| 1948 | −7.0% |
| 1952 | −19.0% |
| 1956 | −33.0% |
| 1960 | −22.8% |
| 1964 | +19.3% |
| 1968 | −10.3% |
| 1972 | −33.5% |
| 1976 | −1.1% |
| 1980 | −21.7% |
| 1984 | −34.4% |
| 1988 | −17.7% |
| 1992 | +4.2% |
| 1996 | +5.0% |
| 2000 | −10.0% |
| 2004 | −12.3% |
| 2008 | −9.0% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | −42.0% |
| 2020 | −48.4% |
| 2024 | −52.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,186 |
| 2018 | 24,521 |
| 2020 | 24,549 |
| 2022 | 24,367 |
| 2024 | 24,501 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+130 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −646 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,912 in average income, against $64,356 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.0 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Guernsey County, OH itself (R+52.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Muskingum County, OH169R+43.9
- Noble County, OH80R+64.6
- Franklin County, OH53D+28.4
- Belmont County, OH41R+47.3
- Tuscarawas County, OH34R+43.3
- Licking County, OH24R+30.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Muskingum County, OH135
- Noble County, OH67
- Franklin County, OH61
- Tuscarawas County, OH37
- Belmont County, OH33
- Licking County, OH24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −249 |
| 2012 | −51 |
| 2013 | −186 |
| 2014 | −6 |
| 2015 | −300 |
| 2016 | −211 |
| 2017 | −116 |
| 2018 | −31 |
| 2019 | −97 |
| 2021 | −6 |
| 2022 | +17 |
| 2023 | +193 |
| 2024 | +267 |
| 2025 | +130 |
Guernsey County, anchored by Cambridge in the Appalachian foothills, has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past decade, recording a 52-point margin in 2024 that reflects broader trends across rural southeastern Ohio.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 52.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.0 points.
A population of 38,223, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,478 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perry County and Appanoose County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Perry County
Ohio
95.6twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory% White
Appanoose County
Iowa
94.1twin score
12-yr trend% White% unaffiliated
Lawrence County
Ohio
92.6twin score
12-yr trend% White2020–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Guernsey County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Guernsey County
Ohio at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Guernsey County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Guernsey County, Ohio voted Republican by 52.0 points (R+52.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,601 votes cast, 4,154 went Democratic and 13,314 went Republican.
When did Guernsey County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Guernsey County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Guernsey County, Ohio?
Guernsey County, Ohio has a population of 38,223 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Guernsey County, Ohio?
Median household income in Guernsey County, Ohio is $58,478 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Guernsey County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Guernsey County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.