- Lead
- 68,142
- Total
- 158,699
- vs nation
- R+41.5
Ohio 31st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 64,352
- Total
- 162,687
- vs nation
- R+44.0
- Lead
- 53,690
- Total
- 152,966
- vs nation
- R+37.2
- Lead
- 19,675
- Total
- 152,159
- vs nation
- R+16.8
- Lead
- 12,191
- Total
- 157,124
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 26,544
- Total
- 156,807
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Lead
- 22,471
- Total
- 132,029
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Lead
- 3,291
- Total
- 127,899
- vs nation
- R+11.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 345,2562024 5-year
- Population density
- 160 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,154 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,4772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.3 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 17, OH · twin score 95.7
presidential history
Party record book
Ohio 31st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.9%
70,061 votes · D+27.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.1%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
75.3%
68,720 votes · R+51.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 71.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
70,581votes
44.9% of the vote · R+7.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 70,061 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
112,757votes
71.1% of the vote · R+42.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 112,247 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+13.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+12.7 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +7.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+44.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +41.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.3%40,979 | 72.7%109,095 | 150,074 |
| 2020 | R | 27.0%42,314 | 73.0%114,219 | 156,533 |
With a 42.9-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, this district ranks among the state's most one-sided, pointing to a heavily rural electorate where statewide and legislative contests rarely generate competitive general-election races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.3 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.9 points.
A population of 345,256, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,477 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 17 and State Senate District 26.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Ohio 31st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/39031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.