- Lead
- 3,135
- Total
- 6,553
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- 65.5%
Ford County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.5% of 10,092 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,294
- Total
- 6,967
- vs nation
- R+51.7
- Turnout
- 81.8%
- Lead
- 3,066
- Total
- 6,396
- vs nation
- R+50.0
- Turnout
- 63.5%
- Lead
- 2,573
- Total
- 6,024
- vs nation
- R+46.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,852
- Total
- 6,386
- vs nation
- R+36.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,599
- Total
- 6,479
- vs nation
- R+37.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,799
- Total
- 6,153
- vs nation
- R+29.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,012
- Total
- 5,770
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,4062024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,4392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+10.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Iroquois County, IL · twin score 84.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.5%6,615 participants ÷ 10,092 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +30.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +8.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.1%–43.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,671 | 10,507 | 63.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,089 | 10,271 | 49.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,257 | 10,100 | 81.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,277 | 10,278 | 51.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,615 | 10,092 | 65.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
44 precincts · 6,615 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PATTON 7PATTON 7 | 163 | 434 | 15 | 612 | 26.6% | 70.9% | R+44.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -DRUMMER 4DRUMMER 4 | 128 | 408 | 14 | 550 | 23.3% | 74.2% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -PATTON 6PATTON 6 | 115 | 277 | 16 | 408 | 28.2% | 67.9% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -DRUMMER 3DRUMMER 3 | 116 | 265 | 15 | 396 | 29.3% | 66.9% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -DRUMMER 5DRUMMER 5 | 114 | 259 | 15 | 388 | 29.4% | 66.8% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -BRENTONBRENTON | 98 | 278 | 8 | 384 | 25.5% | 72.4% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -PATTON 5PATTON 5 | 103 | 262 | 10 | 375 | 27.5% | 69.9% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -DRUMMER 1DRUMMER 1 | 113 | 223 | 17 | 353 | 32.0% | 63.2% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -PATTON 4PATTON 4 | 63 | 274 | 9 | 346 | 18.2% | 79.2% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -DIXDIX | 74 | 253 | 4 | 331 | 22.4% | 76.4% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -PATTON 2PATTON 2 | 88 | 232 | 10 | 330 | 26.7% | 70.3% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -DRUMMER 2DRUMMER 2 | 73 | 218 | 4 | 295 | 24.7% | 73.9% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -PATTON 1PATTON 1 | 81 | 199 | 10 | 290 | 27.9% | 68.6% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -SULLIVANTSULLIVANT | 50 | 203 | 6 | 259 | 19.3% | 78.4% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -PEACH ORCHARDPEACH ORCHARD | 44 | 198 | 7 | 249 | 17.7% | 79.5% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -ROGERSROGERS | 75 | 140 | 6 | 221 | 33.9% | 63.3% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -LYMANLYMAN | 47 | 155 | 7 | 209 | 22.5% | 74.2% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -MONAMONA | 21 | 118 | 2 | 141 | 14.9% | 83.7% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -BUTTONBUTTON | 15 | 112 | 4 | 131 | 11.5% | 85.5% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -WALLWALL | 26 | 100 | 4 | 130 | 20.0% | 76.9% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -PATTON 3PATTON 3 | 22 | 80 | 7 | 109 | 20.2% | 73.4% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -PELLAPELLA | 14 | 90 | 4 | 108 | 13.0% | 83.3% | R+70.4 |
| BRENTON Voting District17_17053BN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUTTON Voting District17_17053BT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DIX Voting District17_17053DX01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DRUMMER 1 Voting District17_17053DM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DRUMMER 2 Voting District17_17053DM02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DRUMMER 3 Voting District17_17053DM03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DRUMMER 4 Voting District17_17053DM04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DRUMMER 5 Voting District17_17053DM05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LYMAN Voting District17_17053LY01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONA Voting District17_17053MA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATTON 1 Voting District17_17053PT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATTON 2 Voting District17_17053PT02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATTON 3 Voting District17_17053PT03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATTON 4 Voting District17_17053PT04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATTON 5 Voting District17_17053PT05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATTON 6 Voting District17_17053PT06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PATTON 7 Voting District17_17053PT07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PEACH ORCHARD Voting District17_17053PO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PELLA Voting District17_17053PA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROGERS Voting District17_17053RG01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SULLIVANT Voting District17_17053SV01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALL Voting District17_17053WL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −22.8% |
| 1896 | −30.1% |
| 1900 | −32.4% |
| 1904 | −48.0% |
| 1908 | −36.4% |
| 1912 | +5.5% |
| 1916 | −37.2% |
| 1920 | −66.6% |
| 1924 | −54.0% |
| 1928 | −37.8% |
| 1932 | +10.9% |
| 1936 | −9.6% |
| 1940 | −30.6% |
| 1944 | −40.1% |
| 1948 | −40.3% |
| 1952 | −49.1% |
| 1956 | −47.4% |
| 1960 | −36.3% |
| 1964 | −15.1% |
| 1968 | −37.7% |
| 1972 | −49.0% |
| 1976 | −27.9% |
| 1980 | −44.6% |
| 1984 | −46.6% |
| 1988 | −33.1% |
| 1992 | −13.4% |
| 1996 | −17.5% |
| 2000 | −29.2% |
| 2004 | −40.1% |
| 2008 | −29.0% |
| 2012 | −42.7% |
| 2016 | −47.9% |
| 2020 | −47.3% |
| 2024 | −47.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,586 |
| 2018 | 9,612 |
| 2020 | 9,978 |
| 2022 | 9,358 |
| 2024 | 9,871 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−53 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −719 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,954 in average income, against $75,828 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+0.7 on average — 49 points more Democratic-leaning than Ford County, IL itself (R+47.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Champaign County, IL116D+23.8
- Iroquois County, IL45R+57.3
- McLean County, IL23D+4.9
- Livingston County, IL22R+46.3
- Cook County, IL21D+41.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Champaign County, IL108
- Iroquois County, IL41
- McLean County, IL24
- Livingston County, IL20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −114 |
| 2012 | +37 |
| 2013 | −147 |
| 2014 | −85 |
| 2015 | +50 |
| 2016 | −134 |
| 2017 | 0 |
| 2018 | −33 |
| 2019 | −214 |
| 2021 | +50 |
| 2022 | −174 |
| 2023 | +26 |
| 2024 | +72 |
| 2025 | −53 |
Ford County's flat, agriculture-dominated landscape anchors a voting pattern that ran nearly 48 points Republican in 2024 — among the widest margins of any county in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.8 points.
A population of 13,406, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,439 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Iroquois County and Ellsworth County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ford County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.