Baytown, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −27.8% |
| 2008 | −17.8% |
| 2012 | −21.6% |
| 2016 | −12.4% |
| 2020 | −11.1% |
| 2024 | −16.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 41.0%Harris8,379 | 58.0%Trump11,837 | 1.0% | R+16.9 | R+5.8 | R+15.5 | 20,424 | |
| R | 44.0%Biden9,643 | 55.1%Trump12,074 | 1.0% | R+11.1 | D+1.3 | R+15.5 | 21,929 | |
| R | 42.1%Clinton7,616 | 54.5%Trump9,858 | 3.4% | R+12.4 | D+9.2 | R+14.5 | 18,080 | |
| R | 38.6%Obama6,776 | 60.2%Romney10,573 | 1.3% | R+21.6 | R+3.8 | R+25.5 | 17,574 | |
| R | 40.6%Obama7,241 | 58.5%McCain10,421 | 0.9% | R+17.8 | D+9.9 | R+25.1 | 17,819 | |
| R | 35.7%Kerry6,318 | 63.5%Bush11,228 | 0.8% | R+27.8 | — | R+25.3 | 17,690 |
Baytown's identity is inseparable from the ExxonMobil and Shell refinery complex anchoring its economy; that industrial working-class base has kept Harris County's eastern edge more competitive than the surrounding suburban shifts might suggest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 27.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.9 points.
A population of 85,205, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,910 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pasadena and Haltom City.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Baytown, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4806128/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.