Bay City, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −24.7% |
| 2008 | −21.7% |
| 2012 | −23.2% |
| 2016 | −26.3% |
| 2020 | −30.2% |
| 2024 | −35.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 31.5%Harris1,668 | 67.4%Trump3,566 | 1.0% | R+35.9 | R+5.7 | R+34.4 | 5,287 | |
| R | 34.4%Biden1,950 | 64.6%Trump3,662 | 1.0% | R+30.2 | R+3.9 | R+34.6 | 5,671 | |
| R | 35.4%Clinton1,875 | 61.7%Trump3,267 | 2.8% | R+26.3 | R+3.1 | R+28.4 | 5,291 | |
| R | 38.0%Obama2,078 | 61.1%Romney3,346 | 0.9% | R+23.2 | R+1.5 | R+27.0 | 5,475 | |
| R | 38.6%Obama2,169 | 60.2%McCain3,388 | 1.2% | R+21.7 | D+3.0 | R+28.9 | 5,626 | |
| R | 37.5%Kerry2,166 | 62.2%Bush3,592 | 0.3% | R+24.7 | — | R+22.2 | 5,777 |
Bay City anchors a coastal bend economy built on energy extraction and agriculture, a combination that has sustained lopsided Republican margins in recent statewide cycles despite a majority-minority population profile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 35.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.9 points.
A population of 17,730, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,840 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hereford and Plainview.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Bay City, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4805984/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.