Bastrop, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −10.4% |
| 2008 | −4.8% |
| 2012 | −14.6% |
| 2016 | −14.8% |
| 2020 | −11.7% |
| 2024 | −11.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 43.4%Harris2,246 | 55.0%Trump2,848 | 1.7% | R+11.6 | D+0.1 | R+10.1 | 5,181 | |
| R | 43.4%Biden1,950 | 55.1%Trump2,476 | 1.5% | R+11.7 | D+3.1 | R+16.2 | 4,494 | |
| R | 39.4%Clinton1,411 | 54.2%Trump1,939 | 6.3% | R+14.8 | R+0.2 | R+16.9 | 3,577 | |
| R | 41.5%Obama1,174 | 56.1%Romney1,587 | 2.4% | R+14.6 | R+9.8 | R+18.5 | 2,828 | |
| R | 47.2%Obama1,483 | 52.0%McCain1,633 | 0.8% | R+4.8 | D+5.6 | R+12.0 | 3,142 | |
| R | 44.7%Kerry1,178 | 55.1%Bush1,452 | 0.2% | R+10.4 | — | R+7.9 | 2,635 |
Bastrop sits roughly 30 miles southeast of Austin and has seen steady population influx as the metro expands, gradually shifting a historically conservative county seat toward more competitive margins in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 14.8 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 11,156, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,551 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Terrace Heights and Crestline.
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Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Bastrop, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4805864/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.