Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic26.6%649TrumpRepublican72.2%1,761OtherAll other candidates1.1%28
R+45.6
Lead
1,112
Total
2,438
vs nation
R+44.1
BidenDemocratic27.1%668TrumpRepublican71.3%1,760OtherAll other candidates1.7%41
R+44.2
Lead
1,092
Total
2,469
vs nation
R+48.7
ClintonDemocratic23.9%461TrumpRepublican71.2%1,370OtherAll other candidates4.9%94
R+47.2
Lead
909
Total
1,925
vs nation
R+49.3
ObamaDemocratic26.3%567RomneyRepublican72.0%1,552OtherAll other candidates1.8%38
R+45.7
Lead
985
Total
2,157
vs nation
R+49.5
ObamaDemocratic28.6%539McCainRepublican69.6%1,309OtherAll other candidates1.8%34
R+40.9
Lead
770
Total
1,882
vs nation
R+48.2
KerryDemocratic29.9%531BushRepublican68.9%1,223OtherAll other candidates1.2%21
R+39.0
Lead
692
Total
1,775
vs nation
R+36.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+45.6MIT Election Lab
Population
4,3832024 5-year
Population density
294 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
14.9 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$89,7442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.1%2024 5-year
Black
2.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+47.2 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2016–20245 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
66.4%2,461 participants ÷ 3,707 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+30.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
35.7%–46.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%
54.1%
39.3%
20162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,461
3,707 ± 273
66.4%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,477
3,759 ± 247
39.3%
Audited
E/A
2,477
3,541 ± 235
70.0%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,746
3,227 ± 206
54.1%
Audited
E/A
1,967
3,155 ± 189
62.3%
Audited
E/A
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
presidential history
Party record book
Louisville, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
29.9%
531 votes · R+39.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 28.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.2%
1,761 votes · R+45.6
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 72.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
668votes
27.1% of the vote · R+44.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 649 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,761votes
72.2% of the vote · R+45.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,760 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−36.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+39.0 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −44.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+49.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.7 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +49.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Louisville · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Blount County, Tennessee, the county containing Louisville — Louisville’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Louisville, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Louisville sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 47.2 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.6 points.
A population of 4,383, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,744 describe the city.
In 2024, Louisville, Tennessee voted Republican by 45.6 points (R+45.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,438 votes cast, 649 went Democratic and 1,761 went Republican.
How many people live in Louisville, Tennessee?
Louisville, Tennessee has a population of 4,383 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisville, Tennessee?
Median household income in Louisville, Tennessee is $89,744 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Louisville, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Louisville, Tennessee from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
