- Lead
- 14,987
- Total
- 33,832
- vs nation
- R+42.8
Tennessee 20th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,174
- Total
- 32,841
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Lead
- 11,609
- Total
- 25,485
- vs nation
- R+47.6
- Lead
- 10,204
- Total
- 23,990
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Lead
- 9,085
- Total
- 25,220
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Lead
- 8,072
- Total
- 23,809
- vs nation
- R+31.4
- Lead
- 4,471
- Total
- 19,979
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Lead
- 1,654
- Total
- 18,323
- vs nation
- R+17.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 68,4612024 5-year
- Population density
- 576 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 119 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,7252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.0 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 8, TN · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 20th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
48.0%
6,239 votes · R+2.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 45.4%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
83.9%
1,979 votes · R+68.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 76.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,480votes
28.9% of the vote · R+40.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 9,226 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
24,213votes
71.6% of the vote · R+44.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 22,654 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
−4.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.8 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −12.2 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+50.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.0 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +49.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.7%7,945 | 76.3%25,635 | 33,580 |
| 2020 | R | 24.4%7,705 | 75.6%23,909 | 31,614 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+44.3, this East or Middle Tennessee district ranks among the state's least competitive, where general-election outcomes are typically settled well before November.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 68.0 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 68,461, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,725 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 8 and State House District 12.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 20th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.