HarrisDemocratic20.7%7,791TrumpRepublican78.3%29,451OtherAll other candidates1.0%368
R+57.6- Lead
- 21,660
- Total
- 37,610
- vs nation
- R+56.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Tennessee 21st State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic22.0%7,468TrumpRepublican76.2%25,860OtherAll other candidates1.8%626
R+54.2- Lead
- 18,392
- Total
- 33,954
- vs nation
- R+58.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic20.8%5,673TrumpRepublican75.9%20,647OtherAll other candidates3.3%900
R+55.0- Lead
- 14,974
- Total
- 27,220
- vs nation
- R+57.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic25.7%6,685RomneyRepublican72.9%18,928OtherAll other candidates1.4%367
R+47.1- Lead
- 12,243
- Total
- 25,980
- vs nation
- R+51.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic29.9%7,907McCainRepublican68.7%18,187OtherAll other candidates1.4%372
R+38.8- Lead
- 10,280
- Total
- 26,466
- vs nation
- R+46.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic32.7%7,894BushRepublican66.7%16,091OtherAll other candidates0.5%128
R+34.0- Lead
- 8,197
- Total
- 24,113
- vs nation
- R+31.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic39.7%7,989BushRepublican58.9%11,851OtherAll other candidates1.4%275
R+19.2- Lead
- 3,862
- Total
- 20,115
- vs nation
- R+19.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic43.9%7,439DoleRepublican48.6%8,235OtherAll other candidates7.4%1,254
R+4.7- Lead
- 796
- Total
- 16,928
- vs nation
- R+13.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,4652024 5-year
- Population density
- 172 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 386 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,2172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 32, TN · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 21st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
59.3%
3,317 votes · D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 54.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.3%
29,451 votes · R+57.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
7,989votes
39.7% of the vote · R+19.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,907 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
29,451votes
78.3% of the vote · R+57.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,860 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+14.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+10.9 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +7.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+58.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +57.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RLowell RussellState House · 21
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.7%6,151 | 81.3%26,706 | 32,857 |
| 2020 | R | 19.2%5,698 | 80.8%23,979 | 29,677 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 45 points, this district ranks among the state's most reliably one-sided legislative seats, reflecting the deep rural or small-town character typical of Tennessee's non-metropolitan corridors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 57.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.6 points.
A population of 66,465, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,217 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 32 and State House District 12.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 32
Tennessee
98.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 12
Tennessee
97.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State House District 1
South Carolina
97.5twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee 21st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Tennessee 21st State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Tennessee 21st State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee 21st State House District voted Republican by 57.6 points (R+57.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 37,610 votes cast, 7,791 went Democratic and 29,451 went Republican.
When did Tennessee 21st State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tennessee 21st State House District voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Tennessee 21st State House District?
Tennessee 21st State House District has a population of 66,465 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee 21st State House District?
Median household income in Tennessee 21st State House District is $71,217 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee 21st State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee 21st State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.