- Lead
- 18,161
- Total
- 30,307
- vs nation
- R+58.5
Tennessee 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 17,214
- Total
- 30,456
- vs nation
- R+61.0
- Lead
- 15,404
- Total
- 25,697
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Lead
- 12,719
- Total
- 23,987
- vs nation
- R+56.9
- Lead
- 11,131
- Total
- 24,056
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Lead
- 9,150
- Total
- 21,964
- vs nation
- R+39.2
- Lead
- 5,682
- Total
- 18,079
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Lead
- 3,007
- Total
- 14,877
- vs nation
- R+28.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,6112024 5-year
- Population density
- 151 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 441 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,2352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+86.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 17, TN · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
35.4%
5,267 votes · R+20.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 34.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
93.3%
4,202 votes · R+86.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 92.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
6,338votes
28.9% of the vote · R+41.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,323 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
24,074votes
79.4% of the vote · R+59.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 23,476 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
−26.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+21.2 · U.S. D+5.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −28.7 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+83.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+80.1 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +81.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.3%5,024 | 81.7%22,451 | 27,475 |
| 2020 | R | 19.7%5,374 | 80.3%21,971 | 27,345 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding R+59, this district ranks among the most uniformly partisan in Tennessee's lower chamber, leaving general-election competition effectively absent and primary contests as the decisive battleground.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 86.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.9 points.
A population of 66,611, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,235 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 17 and State House District 32.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.