cityLynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, TN
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+21.1
2008R+38.2
2012R+48.4
2016R+62.5
2020R+65.4
2024R+69.0
net swing · 2004→2024R+47.9R+21.1 → R+69.0
vs. U.S. · 2024R+67.5R+69.0 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.7% of 5,363 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
538
3,042
51
3,631
5,363
67.7%
2020
569
2,870
77
3,516
5,118
68.7%
2016
493
2,310
104
2,907
5,086
57.2%
2012
698
2,048
41
2,787
4,938
56.4%
2008
881
2,010
68
2,959
4,707
62.9%
2004
1,084
1,668
22
2,774
4,476†
62.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLynchburg, Moore County metropolitan governmentTennesseeUnited States
American21.6%11.3%5.3%
English18.8%13.3%9.5%
Irish12.8%9.3%9.4%
German6.3%9.1%12.5%
Scottish2.3%2.2%1.3%
French1.6%1.3%1.6%
Dutch1.4%——
Finnish1.0%——
African American†2.1%14.3%9.9%
Mexican1.7%3.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.6%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government
Tennessee
United States
Median age
46.2
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.5%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
22.1%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$66,469
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.1%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
24.1%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
0.9%
8.7%
22.3%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
—
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
44.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−21.1%
2008
−38.2%
2012
−48.4%
2016
−62.5%
2020
−65.4%
2024
−69.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
14.8%Harris538
83.8%Trump3,042
1.4%
R+69.0
R+3.5
R+67.5
3,631
R
16.2%Biden569
81.6%Trump2,870
2.2%
R+65.4
R+2.9
R+69.9
3,516
R
17.0%Clinton493
79.5%Trump2,310
3.6%
R+62.5
R+14.1
R+64.6
2,907
R
25.0%Obama698
73.5%Romney2,048
1.5%
R+48.4
R+10.3
R+52.3
2,787
R
29.8%Obama881
67.9%McCain2,010
2.3%
R+38.2
R+17.1
R+45.4
2,959
R
39.1%Kerry1,084
60.1%Bush1,668
0.8%
R+21.1
—
R+18.6
2,774
Lynchburg anchors Moore County, Tennessee's smallest county by population, where a globally recognized whiskey distillery draws millions of visitors each year to a community that votes in patterns typical of rural Middle Tennessee.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 69.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.0 points.
A population of 6,674, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,469 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Church Hill and Erwin.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee voted Republican by 69.0 points (R+69.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,631 votes cast, 538 went Democratic and 3,042 went Republican.
How many people live in Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee?
Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee has a population of 6,674 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee?
Median household income in Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee is $66,469 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Lynchburg, Moore County metropolitan government, Tennessee from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
