Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic39.6%462TrumpRepublican56.9%663OtherAll other candidates3.5%41
R+17.2
Lead
201
Total
1,166
vs nation
R+15.8
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic45.7%517TrumpRepublican50.7%573OtherAll other candidates3.6%41
R+5.0
Lead
56
Total
1,131
vs nation
R+9.4
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic37.8%395TrumpRepublican51.7%541OtherAll other candidates10.5%110
R+14.0
Lead
146
Total
1,046
vs nation
R+16.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic49.9%362RomneyRepublican48.1%349OtherAll other candidates2.1%15
D+1.8
Lead
13
Total
726
vs nation
R+2.1
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic51.5%470McCainRepublican45.8%418OtherAll other candidates2.6%24
D+5.7
Lead
52
Total
912
vs nation
R+1.6
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic51.8%451BushRepublican45.8%399OtherAll other candidates2.4%21
D+6.0
Lead
52
Total
871
vs nation
D+8.4
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+17.2MIT Election Lab
Population
2,5282024 5-year
Median household income
$51,9172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.7%2024 5-year
Black
1.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+6.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+17.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+6.0%
2008
+5.7%
2012
+1.8%
2016
−14.0%
2020
−5.0%
2024
−17.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.6%Harris462
56.9%Trump663
3.5%
R+17.2
R+12.3
R+15.8
1,166
R
45.7%Biden517
50.7%Trump573
3.6%
R+5.0
D+9.0
R+9.4
1,131
R
37.8%Clinton395
51.7%Trump541
10.5%
R+14.0
R+15.7
R+16.0
1,046
D
49.9%Obama362
48.1%Romney349
2.1%
D+1.8
R+3.9
R+2.1
726
D
51.5%Obama470
45.8%McCain418
2.6%
D+5.7
—
R+1.6
912
D
51.8%Kerry451
45.8%Bush399
2.4%
D+6.0
—
D+8.4
871
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2020
R
48.9%520
51.1%544
1,064
Baldwinville sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.0 points in 2004 and a Republican high of 17.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 12.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.2 points.
A population of 2,528, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,917 describe the city.
In 2024, Baldwinville, Massachusetts voted Republican by 17.2 points (R+17.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,166 votes cast, 462 went Democratic and 663 went Republican.
When did Baldwinville, Massachusetts last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Baldwinville, Massachusetts voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Baldwinville, Massachusetts?
Baldwinville, Massachusetts has a population of 2,528 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baldwinville, Massachusetts?
Median household income in Baldwinville, Massachusetts is $51,917 — below the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Baldwinville, Massachusetts?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Baldwinville, Massachusetts from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.