Akashic

county

Carroll County, OH

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German25.4%22.3%12.5%

Irish13.6%12.3%9.4%

English11.4%11.0%9.5%

Italian7.3%5.8%4.8%

American5.2%5.6%5.3%

Scottish3.0%1.5%1.3%

Polish2.4%3.2%2.2%

French2.1%1.2%1.6%

Mexican0.4%2.0%11.3%

Spanish0.4%——

Puerto Rican0.3%1.2%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Carroll County	Ohio	United States
Median age	45.6	39.8	39.1
Age 18–24	7.2%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.4%	18.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Carroll County	Ohio	United States
Median household income	$64,835	$71,389	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.9%	13.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	16.1%	31.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Carroll County	Ohio	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.4%	8.0%	22.3%
German or other West Germanic	4.7%	0.9%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	Carroll County	Ohio	United States
Catholic	5.5%	15.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	21.4%	19.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	58.5%	52.2%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	13.6%	7.0%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 65.8% of 21,170 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic22.2%3,071TrumpRepublican77.0%10,634OliverNonpartisan0.4%49

R+54.7

Lead: 7,563
Total: 13,819
vs nation: R+53.3
Turnout: 65.8%

BidenDemocratic22.9%3,251TrumpRepublican75.6%10,745JorgensenLibertarian1.1%156

R+52.7

Lead: 7,494
Total: 14,212
vs nation: R+57.2
Turnout: 66.2%

ClintonDemocratic23.6%3,154TrumpRepublican69.2%9,254JohnsonLibertarian3.4%450

R+45.6

Lead: 6,100
Total: 13,368
vs nation: R+47.7
Turnout: 60.8%

ObamaDemocratic41.3%5,543RomneyRepublican54.6%7,315JohnsonLibertarian1.3%173

R+13.2

Lead: 1,772
Total: 13,409
vs nation: R+17.1
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic45.9%6,423McCainRepublican50.7%7,097OtherAll other candidates3.3%465

R+4.8

Lead: 674
Total: 13,985
vs nation: R+12.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic44.6%6,300BushRepublican54.5%7,695OtherAll other candidates0.8%117

R+9.9

Lead: 1,395
Total: 14,112
vs nation: R+7.4
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic40.5%4,960BushRepublican54.9%6,732NaderGreen2.2%271

R+14.5

Lead: 1,772
Total: 12,261
vs nation: R+15.0
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic40.6%4,792DoleRepublican37.7%4,449PerotReform20.7%2,445

D+2.9

Lead: 343
Total: 11,790
vs nation: R+5.6
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+54.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 26,6592024 5-year
Median household income: $64,8352024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 94.6%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+16.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.3 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Guernsey County, OH · twin score 92.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 65.8%13,932 participants ÷ 21,170 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +17.6 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 48.2%–50.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	13,368	21,998	60.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	10,570	21,805	48.5%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	14,303	21,594	66.2%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	10,331	21,233	48.7%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	13,932	21,170	65.8%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

49 precincts · 13,818 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Carroll County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -MOHAWKMOHAWK	276	644	5	925	29.8%	69.6%	R+39.8
Precinct -CARROLLTON BCARROLLTON B	201	627	4	832	24.2%	75.4%	R+51.2
Precinct -ROSEROSE	175	641	12	828	21.1%	77.4%	R+56.3
Precinct -HARRISON AHARRISON A	154	639	6	799	19.3%	80.0%	R+60.7
Precinct -MINERVAMINERVA	211	529	8	748	28.2%	70.7%	R+42.5
Precinct -AUGUSTAAUGUSTA	144	568	5	717	20.1%	79.2%	R+59.1
Precinct -CENTERCENTER	113	537	5	655	17.3%	82.0%	R+64.7
Precinct -ORANGEORANGE	173	478	4	655	26.4%	73.0%	R+46.6
Precinct -CARROLLTON ACARROLLTON A	173	477	4	654	26.5%	72.9%	R+46.5
Precinct -MONROEMONROE	176	464	7	647	27.2%	71.7%	R+44.5
Precinct -HARRISON BHARRISON B	112	458	5	575	19.5%	79.7%	R+60.2
Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON	105	440	4	549	19.1%	80.1%	R+61.0
Precinct -BROWN CBROWN C	118	413	7	538	21.9%	76.8%	R+54.8
Precinct -MALVERNMALVERN	175	341	4	520	33.7%	65.6%	R+31.9
Precinct -LEELEE	68	436	5	509	13.4%	85.7%	R+72.3
Precinct -UNIONUNION	101	400	5	506	20.0%	79.1%	R+59.1
Precinct -LOUDONLOUDON	75	401	3	479	15.7%	83.7%	R+68.1
Precinct -FOXFOX	84	382	6	472	17.8%	80.9%	R+63.1
Precinct -BROWN ABROWN A	115	352	4	471	24.4%	74.7%	R+50.3
Precinct -BROWN BBROWN B	91	368	4	463	19.7%	79.5%	R+59.8
Precinct -LEAVITTSVILLELEAVITTSVILLE	97	359	4	460	21.1%	78.0%	R+57.0
Precinct -PERRYPERRY	75	381	2	458	16.4%	83.2%	R+66.8
Precinct -EASTEAST	59	299	0	358	16.5%	83.5%	R+67.0
PRECINCT AUGUSTA39_39019019AAA	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT BROWN TWP A39_39019019AAE	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT BROWN TWP B39_39019019AAF	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT BROWN TWP C39_39019019AAG	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT CARROLLTON A39_39019019AAQ	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT CARROLLTON B39_39019019AAR	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT CARROLLTON C39_39019019AAS	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT CENTER TWP39_39019019AAO	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT EAST TWP39_39019019AAV	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT FOX TWP39_39019019AAW	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT HARRISON A39_39019019AAX	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT HARRISON B39_39019019AAY	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT LEAVITTSVILLE39_39019019ABD	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT LEE TWP39_39019019AAZ	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT LOUDON TWP39_39019019ABB	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT MALVERN39_39019019AAJ	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT MINERVA A39_39019019AAL	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT MINERVA B39_39019019AAM	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT MOHAWK EAST39_39019019AAC	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT MOHAWK WEST39_39019019AAD	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT MONROE39_39019019ABE	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT ORANGE TWP39_39019019ABG	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT PERRY39_39019019ABH	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT ROSE TWP39_39019019ABJ	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT UNION TWP39_39019019ABK	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
PRECINCT WASHINGTON TWP39_39019019ABL	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−13.9%
1896	−15.3%
1900	−21.2%
1904	−34.2%
1908	−21.9%
1912	+5.3%
1916	−10.7%
1920	−42.1%
1924	−47.6%
1928	−61.3%
1932	−22.4%
1936	−7.7%
1940	−18.0%
1944	−25.5%
1948	−17.6%
1952	−29.1%
1956	−39.1%
1960	−27.2%
1964	+16.0%
1968	−17.1%
1972	−35.8%
1976	−0.8%
1980	−23.7%
1984	−27.7%
1988	−13.8%
1992	+4.1%
1996	+2.9%
2000	−14.5%
2004	−9.9%
2008	−4.8%
2012	−13.2%
2016	−45.6%
2020	−52.7%
2024	−54.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	22.2%Harris3,071	77.0%Trump10,634	0.4%Oliver49 +3	R+54.7	R+2.0	R+53.3	13,819
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican77.0%10,634 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.2%3,071 Chase OliverNonpartisan0.4%49 Richard DuncanNonpartisan0.3%44 Peter SonskiNonpartisan0.1%20 OtherAll other candidates0.0%1
2020	R	22.9%Biden3,251	75.6%Trump10,745	1.1%Jorgensen156	R+52.7	R+7.1	R+57.2	14,212
2016	R	23.6%Clinton3,154	69.2%Trump9,254	3.4%Johnson450	R+45.6	R+32.4	R+47.7	13,368
2012	R	41.3%Obama5,543	54.6%Romney7,315	1.3%Johnson173	R+13.2	R+8.4	R+17.1	13,409
2008	R	45.9%Obama6,423	50.7%McCain7,097	3.3%	R+4.8	D+5.1	R+12.1	13,985
2004	R	44.6%Kerry6,300	54.5%Bush7,695	0.8%	R+9.9	D+4.6	R+7.4	14,112
2000	R	40.5%Gore4,960	54.9%Bush6,732	2.2%Nader271	R+14.5	R+17.4	R+15.0	12,261
1996	D	40.6%Clinton4,792	37.7%Dole4,449	20.7%Perot2,445	D+2.9	R+1.2	R+5.6	11,790
1992	D	38.0%Clinton4,731	33.9%Bush4,224	27.6%Perot3,434	D+4.1	D+17.8	R+1.5	12,463
1988	R	42.5%Dukakis4,667	56.2%Bush6,179	1.3%	R+13.8	D+13.9	R+6.0	10,994
1984	R	35.6%Mondale3,771	63.3%Reagan6,703	1.0%	R+27.7	R+4.0	R+9.5	10,584
1980	R	35.3%Carter3,476	58.9%Reagan5,806	5.8%	R+23.7	R+22.8	R+13.9	9,851
1976	R	48.5%Carter5,006	49.3%Ford5,091	2.2%	R+0.8	D+35.0	R+2.9	10,325
1972	R	30.6%McGovern2,755	66.4%Nixon5,984	3.1%	R+35.8	R+18.7	R+12.7	9,014
1968	R	35.3%Humphrey3,119	52.4%Nixon4,634	12.4%	R+17.1	R+33.2	R+16.4	8,846
1964	D	58.0%Johnson5,050	42.0%Goldwater3,655	0.0%	D+16.0	D+43.2	R+6.6	8,705
1960	R	36.4%Kennedy3,488	63.6%Nixon6,095	0.0%	R+27.2	D+11.9	R+27.4	9,583
1956	R	30.4%Stevenson2,590	69.6%Eisenhower5,916	0.0%	R+39.1	R+10.0	R+23.7	8,506
1952	R	35.4%Stevenson3,134	64.6%Eisenhower5,707	0.0%	R+29.1	R+11.5	R+18.3	8,841
1948	R	41.0%Truman2,996	58.6%Dewey4,283	0.5%	R+17.6	D+7.9	R+22.1	7,313
1944	R	37.2%Roosevelt2,907	62.8%Dewey4,898	0.0%	R+25.5	R+7.6	R+33.0	7,805
1940	R	41.0%Roosevelt3,589	59.0%Willkie5,160	0.0%	R+18.0	R+10.3	R+27.9	8,749
1936	R	45.6%Roosevelt3,801	53.3%Landon4,440	1.2%	R+7.7	D+14.8	R+31.9	8,337
1932	R	37.3%Roosevelt2,802	59.7%Hoover4,487	2.9%	R+22.4	D+38.8	R+40.2	7,510
1928	R	19.0%Smith1,321	80.3%Hoover5,572	0.6%	R+61.3	R+13.7	R+43.8	6,937
1924	R	23.2%Davis1,430	70.8%Coolidge4,369	5.9%La Follette364	R+47.6	R+5.5	R+22.4	6,173
1920	R	28.0%Cox1,755	70.2%Harding4,392	1.8%	R+42.1	R+31.5	R+15.9	6,258
1916	R	43.0%Wilson1,672	53.7%Hughes2,086	3.3%	R+10.7	R+15.9	R+13.8	3,885
1912	O	34.7%Wilson1,293	29.4%Taft1,096	35.8%	Roosevelt +1.1	D+27.2	R+14.3	3,722
1908	R	37.5%Bryan1,590	59.4%Taft2,517	3.0%	R+21.9	D+12.3	R+12.3	4,236
1904	R	30.8%Parker1,278	65.0%Roosevelt2,695	4.1%	R+34.2	R+13.0	R+14.5	4,143
1900	R	38.4%Bryan1,720	59.6%McKinley2,668	2.0%	R+21.2	R+5.9	R+13.6	4,478
1896	R	41.8%Bryan1,955	57.1%McKinley2,668	1.1%	R+15.3	R+1.3	R+9.2	4,675
1892	R	40.0%Cleveland1,677	54.0%Harrison2,261	6.0%	R+13.9	—	R+15.6	4,189
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	23.4%3,101	76.6%10,171	13,272
2020	R	22.8%3,107	77.2%10,506	13,613
2018	R	33.6%151	66.4%298	449

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	26.0%3,545	69.9%9,543	13,659
2022	R	27.1%2,743	72.8%7,372	10,122
2018Class I	R	36.8%Sherrod Brown3,788	63.2%Jim Renacci6,503	10,293
2016Class III	R	22.4%Ted Strickland2,851	70.7%Rob Portman9,011	12,752
2012Class I	R	39.9%Sherrod Brown5,154	52.0%Josh Mandel6,727	12,927
2010Class III	R	34.9%Lee Fisher3,420	59.7%Rob Portman5,858	9,813
2006Class I	D	55.6%Sherrod Brown6,143	44.4%Mike DeWine4,908	11,053
2004Class III	R	32.3%Eric Fingerhut4,448	67.7%George Voinovich9,309	13,757
2000Class I	R	32.2%Ted Celeste3,833	63.1%Mike DeWine7,525	11,917
1998Class III	R	42.1%Mary Boyle3,894	57.9%George Voinovich5,345	9,239
1994Class I	R	39.2%Joel Hyatt3,644	52.3%Mike DeWine4,857	9,291
1992Class III	D	50.9%John Glenn6,225	40.4%Mike DeWine4,939	12,224
1988Class I	D	56.1%Howard Metzenbaum6,136	43.9%George Voinovich4,808	10,944
1986Class III	D	57.8%John Glenn4,513	42.2%Thomas N. Kindness3,298	7,811
1982Class I	D	50.8%Howard Metzenbaum4,221	47.8%Paul E. Pfeifer3,976	8,311
1980Class III	D	61.0%John Glenn5,900	36.1%James E. Betts3,494	9,679
1976Class I	R	43.9%Howard Metzenbaum4,384	52.7%Robert A. Taft Jr.5,264	9,993
1974Class III	D	61.2%John Glenn4,186	34.0%Ralph J. Perk2,330	6,845
1970Class I	R	40.7%Howard Metzenbaum2,763	56.7%Robert A. Taft Jr.3,848	6,785
1968Class III	R	43.6%John J. Gilligan3,710	56.4%William B. Saxbe4,792	8,502
1964Class I	R	43.7%Stephen M. Young3,717	56.3%Robert A. Taft Jr.4,780	8,497
1962Class III	D	53.1%Frank J. Lausche3,548	46.9%John M. Briley3,140	6,688
1958Class I	R	44.2%Stephen M. Young3,281	55.8%John W. Bricker4,137	7,418
1956Class III	R	45.7%Frank J. Lausche3,703	54.3%George H. Bender4,408	8,111
1952Class I	R	33.4%Michael V. DiSalle2,763	66.6%John W. Bricker5,515	8,278
1950Class III	R	33.5%Joseph T. Ferguson2,508	66.5%Robert A. Taft4,968	7,476
1946Class I	R	29.3%James W. Huffman1,547	70.3%John W. Bricker3,718	5,287
1944Class III	R	35.7%William G. Pickrel2,683	64.3%Robert A. Taft4,826	7,509
1940Class I	—	0.0%John McSweeney0	0.0%Harold H. Burton0	8,087
1938Class III	R	35.0%Robert J. Bulkley2,393	65.0%Robert A. Taft4,445	6,838
1934Class I	R	44.9%Vic Donahey2,653	54.9%Simeon D. Fess3,248	5,914
1932Class III	R	45.6%Robert J. Bulkley3,098	51.7%Gilbert Bettman3,510	6,789
1928Class I	R	28.4%Charles V. Truax1,789	71.5%Simeon D. Fess4,511	6,310
1926Class III	R	29.3%Atlee Pomerene1,295	70.6%Frank B. Willis3,125	4,425
1922Class I	R	33.0%Atlee Pomerene1,749	66.3%Simeon D. Fess3,512	5,295
1920Class III	R	29.3%W.A. Julian1,774	70.6%Frank B. Willis4,267	6,046
1916Class I	R	39.9%Atlee Pomerene1,567	54.9%Myron T. Herrick2,157	3,931
1914Class III	R	30.0%Timothy S. Hogan1,084	61.2%Warren G. Harding2,207	3,609

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1954Special · Class III	R	39.7%Thomas A. Burke2,320	60.3%George H. Bender3,518	5,838
1928Special · Class III	R	23.4%Graham P. Hunt1,421	76.6%Theodore E. Burton4,644	6,065

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	19.5%Nan Whaley1,969	80.2%Mike Dewine8,074	10,073
2018	R	30.2%Richard Cordray And Betty Sutton3,114	65.7%Mike Dewine And Jon Husted6,772	10,301
2014	R	27.4%Ed FitzGerald2,137	69.2%John Kasich5,401	7,803
2010	R	42.9%Ted Strickland4,272	50.2%John Kasich5,002	9,966
2006	D	61.9%Ted Strickland6,903	33.7%Ken Blackwell3,753	11,152
2002	R	35.5%Tim Hagan3,104	60.0%Bob Taft5,254	8,753
1998	R	40.5%Lee Fisher3,630	53.5%Bob Taft4,794	8,957
1994	R	34.7%Rob Burch3,157	62.5%George Voinovich5,688	9,098
1990	R	45.7%Anthony J. Celebrezze Jr.4,102	54.3%George Voinovich4,883	8,985
1986	D	55.3%Dick Celeste4,211	44.7%Jim Rhodes3,407	7,618
1982	D	56.2%Dick Celeste4,512	42.2%Bud Brown3,385	8,028
1978	R	41.9%Dick Celeste2,504	55.1%Jim Rhodes3,298	5,981

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Carroll County, OH
Year	Total registered
2016	18,002
2018	18,315
2020	18,416
2022	18,318
2024	18,409

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+23 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −1,191 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $54,911 in average income, against $70,153 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+29.4 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Carroll County, OH itself (R+54.7).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Stark County, OH250R+21.9
Tuscarawas County, OH80R+43.3
Columbiana County, OH37R+49.0
Summit County, OH32D+7.0
Harrison County, OH31R+55.2
Jefferson County, OH26R+43.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Stark County, OH293
Tuscarawas County, OH99
Columbiana County, OH42
Summit County, OH33
Jefferson County, OH27
Harrison County, OH21

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Carroll County, OH in Carroll County, OH: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−42
2012	−220
2013	−279
2014	−56
2015	−343
2016	−87
2017	−237
2018	−201
2019	−132
2021	+114
2022	+166
2023	+233
2024	−130
2025	+23

Carroll County, a rural Appalachian-adjacent community in northeastern Ohio, recorded a 54.7-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep realignment of small, coal-country counties over the past decade.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.3 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.7 points.

A population of 26,659, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,835 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Guernsey County and Columbiana County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Guernsey County

Ohio

92.0twin score

12-yr trend% White2020–2024 trajectory≠ Italian ancestry

Columbiana County

Ohio

89.4twin score

12-yr trend% Whitecollege share

Perry County

Ohio

87.9twin score

12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory% White≠ Italian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Cities & towns in Carroll County

Ohio at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Carroll County, Ohio vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carroll County, Ohio voted Republican by 54.7 points (R+54.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,819 votes cast, 3,071 went Democratic and 10,634 went Republican.

When did Carroll County, Ohio last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Carroll County, Ohio?

Carroll County, Ohio has a population of 26,659 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carroll County, Ohio?

Median household income in Carroll County, Ohio is $64,835 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.

What is the political history of Carroll County, Ohio?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.

Measure

Carroll County

Ohio

United States

Median age

45.6

39.8

39.1

Age 18–24

7.2%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

22.4%

18.3%

17.2%

Measure

Carroll County

Ohio

United States

Median household income

$64,835

$71,389

$84,427

Poverty rate

12.9%

13.3%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

16.1%

31.6%

35.6%

Measure

Carroll County

Ohio

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

5.4%

8.0%

22.3%

German or other West Germanic

4.7%

0.9%

0.5%

Measure

Carroll County

Ohio

United States

Catholic

5.5%

15.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

21.4%

19.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

58.5%

52.2%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

13.6%

7.0%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+54.7MIT Election Lab

Population

26,6592024 5-year

Median household income

$64,8352024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

94.6%2024 5-year

Black

0.7%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

1.3%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+16.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+61.3 in 1928MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Guernsey County, OH · twin score 92.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

13,368

21,998

60.8%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

10,570

21,805

48.5%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

14,303

21,594

66.2%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

10,331

21,233

48.7%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

13,932

21,170

65.8%

A/A

Carroll County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -MOHAWKMOHAWK

276

644

925

29.8%

69.6%

R+39.8

Precinct -CARROLLTON BCARROLLTON B

201

627

832

24.2%

75.4%

R+51.2

Precinct -ROSEROSE

175

641

828

21.1%

77.4%

R+56.3

Precinct -HARRISON AHARRISON A

154

639

799

19.3%

80.0%

R+60.7

Precinct -MINERVAMINERVA

211

529

748

28.2%

70.7%

R+42.5

Precinct -AUGUSTAAUGUSTA

144

568

717

20.1%

79.2%

R+59.1

Precinct -CENTERCENTER

113

537

655

17.3%

82.0%

R+64.7

Precinct -ORANGEORANGE

173

478

655

26.4%

73.0%

R+46.6

Precinct -CARROLLTON ACARROLLTON A

173

477

654

26.5%

72.9%

R+46.5

Precinct -MONROEMONROE

176

464

647

27.2%

71.7%

R+44.5

Precinct -HARRISON BHARRISON B

112

458

575

19.5%

79.7%

R+60.2

Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON

105

440

549

19.1%

80.1%

R+61.0

Precinct -BROWN CBROWN C

118

413

538

21.9%

76.8%

R+54.8

Precinct -MALVERNMALVERN

175

341

520

33.7%

65.6%

R+31.9

Precinct -LEELEE

436

509

13.4%

85.7%

R+72.3

Precinct -UNIONUNION

101

400

506

20.0%

79.1%

R+59.1

Precinct -LOUDONLOUDON

401

479

15.7%

83.7%

R+68.1

Precinct -FOXFOX

382

472

17.8%

80.9%

R+63.1

Precinct -BROWN ABROWN A

115

352

471

24.4%

74.7%

R+50.3

Precinct -BROWN BBROWN B

368

463

19.7%

79.5%

R+59.8

Precinct -LEAVITTSVILLELEAVITTSVILLE

359

460

21.1%

78.0%

R+57.0

Precinct -PERRYPERRY

381

458

16.4%

83.2%

R+66.8

Precinct -EASTEAST

299

358

16.5%

83.5%

R+67.0

PRECINCT AUGUSTA39_39019019AAA

—

No votes

PRECINCT BROWN TWP A39_39019019AAE

—

No votes

PRECINCT BROWN TWP B39_39019019AAF

—

No votes

PRECINCT BROWN TWP C39_39019019AAG

—

No votes

PRECINCT CARROLLTON A39_39019019AAQ

—

No votes

PRECINCT CARROLLTON B39_39019019AAR

—

No votes

PRECINCT CARROLLTON C39_39019019AAS

—

No votes

PRECINCT CENTER TWP39_39019019AAO

—

No votes

PRECINCT EAST TWP39_39019019AAV

—

No votes

PRECINCT FOX TWP39_39019019AAW

—

No votes

PRECINCT HARRISON A39_39019019AAX

—

No votes

PRECINCT HARRISON B39_39019019AAY

—

No votes

PRECINCT LEAVITTSVILLE39_39019019ABD

—

No votes

PRECINCT LEE TWP39_39019019AAZ

—

No votes

PRECINCT LOUDON TWP39_39019019ABB

—

No votes

PRECINCT MALVERN39_39019019AAJ

—

No votes

PRECINCT MINERVA A39_39019019AAL

—

No votes

PRECINCT MINERVA B39_39019019AAM

—

No votes

PRECINCT MOHAWK EAST39_39019019AAC

—

No votes

PRECINCT MOHAWK WEST39_39019019AAD

—

No votes

PRECINCT MONROE39_39019019ABE

—

No votes

PRECINCT ORANGE TWP39_39019019ABG

—

No votes

PRECINCT PERRY39_39019019ABH

—

No votes

PRECINCT ROSE TWP39_39019019ABJ

—

No votes

PRECINCT UNION TWP39_39019019ABK

—

No votes

PRECINCT WASHINGTON TWP39_39019019ABL

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−13.9%
1896	−15.3%
1900	−21.2%
1904	−34.2%
1908	−21.9%
1912	+5.3%
1916	−10.7%
1920	−42.1%
1924	−47.6%
1928	−61.3%
1932	−22.4%
1936	−7.7%
1940	−18.0%
1944	−25.5%
1948	−17.6%
1952	−29.1%
1956	−39.1%
1960	−27.2%
1964	+16.0%
1968	−17.1%
1972	−35.8%
1976	−0.8%
1980	−23.7%
1984	−27.7%
1988	−13.8%
1992	+4.1%
1996	+2.9%
2000	−14.5%
2004	−9.9%
2008	−4.8%
2012	−13.2%
2016	−45.6%
2020	−52.7%
2024	−54.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

22.2%Harris3,071

77.0%Trump10,634

0.4%Oliver49 +3

R+54.7

R+2.0

R+53.3

13,819

All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican77.0%10,634
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.2%3,071
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.4%49
Richard DuncanNonpartisan0.3%44
Peter SonskiNonpartisan0.1%20
OtherAll other candidates0.0%1

2020

22.9%Biden3,251

75.6%Trump10,745

1.1%Jorgensen156

R+52.7

R+7.1

R+57.2

14,212

2016

23.6%Clinton3,154

69.2%Trump9,254

3.4%Johnson450

R+45.6

R+32.4

R+47.7

13,368

2012

41.3%Obama5,543

54.6%Romney7,315

1.3%Johnson173

R+13.2

R+8.4

R+17.1

13,409

2008

45.9%Obama6,423

50.7%McCain7,097

3.3%

R+4.8

D+5.1

R+12.1

13,985

2004

44.6%Kerry6,300

54.5%Bush7,695

0.8%

R+9.9

D+4.6

R+7.4

14,112

2000

40.5%Gore4,960

54.9%Bush6,732

2.2%Nader271

R+14.5

R+17.4

R+15.0

12,261

1996

40.6%Clinton4,792

37.7%Dole4,449

20.7%Perot2,445

D+2.9

R+1.2

R+5.6

11,790

1992

38.0%Clinton4,731

33.9%Bush4,224

27.6%Perot3,434

D+4.1

D+17.8

R+1.5

12,463

1988

42.5%Dukakis4,667

56.2%Bush6,179

1.3%

R+13.8

D+13.9

R+6.0

10,994

1984

35.6%Mondale3,771

63.3%Reagan6,703

1.0%

R+27.7

R+4.0

R+9.5

10,584

1980

35.3%Carter3,476

58.9%Reagan5,806

5.8%

R+23.7

R+22.8

R+13.9

9,851

1976

48.5%Carter5,006

49.3%Ford5,091

2.2%

R+0.8

D+35.0

R+2.9

10,325

1972

30.6%McGovern2,755

66.4%Nixon5,984

3.1%

R+35.8

R+18.7

R+12.7

9,014

1968

35.3%Humphrey3,119

52.4%Nixon4,634

12.4%

R+17.1

R+33.2

R+16.4

8,846

1964

58.0%Johnson5,050

42.0%Goldwater3,655

0.0%

D+16.0

D+43.2

R+6.6

8,705

1960

36.4%Kennedy3,488

63.6%Nixon6,095

0.0%

R+27.2

D+11.9

R+27.4

9,583

1956

30.4%Stevenson2,590

69.6%Eisenhower5,916

0.0%

R+39.1

R+10.0

R+23.7

8,506

1952

35.4%Stevenson3,134

64.6%Eisenhower5,707

0.0%

R+29.1

R+11.5

R+18.3

8,841

1948

41.0%Truman2,996

58.6%Dewey4,283

0.5%

R+17.6

D+7.9

R+22.1

7,313

1944

37.2%Roosevelt2,907

62.8%Dewey4,898

0.0%

R+25.5

R+7.6

R+33.0

7,805

1940

41.0%Roosevelt3,589

59.0%Willkie5,160

0.0%

R+18.0

R+10.3

R+27.9

8,749

1936

45.6%Roosevelt3,801

53.3%Landon4,440

1.2%

R+7.7

D+14.8

R+31.9

8,337

1932

37.3%Roosevelt2,802

59.7%Hoover4,487

2.9%

R+22.4

D+38.8

R+40.2

7,510

1928

19.0%Smith1,321

80.3%Hoover5,572

0.6%

R+61.3

R+13.7

R+43.8

6,937

1924

23.2%Davis1,430

70.8%Coolidge4,369

5.9%La Follette364

R+47.6

R+5.5

R+22.4

6,173

1920

28.0%Cox1,755

70.2%Harding4,392

1.8%

R+42.1

R+31.5

R+15.9

6,258

1916

43.0%Wilson1,672

53.7%Hughes2,086

3.3%

R+10.7

R+15.9

R+13.8

3,885

1912

34.7%Wilson1,293

29.4%Taft1,096

35.8%

Roosevelt +1.1

D+27.2

R+14.3

3,722

1908

37.5%Bryan1,590

59.4%Taft2,517

3.0%

R+21.9

D+12.3

R+12.3

4,236

1904

30.8%Parker1,278

65.0%Roosevelt2,695

4.1%

R+34.2

R+13.0

R+14.5

4,143

1900

38.4%Bryan1,720

59.6%McKinley2,668

2.0%

R+21.2

R+5.9

R+13.6

4,478

1896

41.8%Bryan1,955

57.1%McKinley2,668

1.1%

R+15.3

R+1.3

R+9.2

4,675

1892

40.0%Cleveland1,677

54.0%Harrison2,261

6.0%

R+13.9

—

R+15.6

4,189

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

23.4%3,101

76.6%10,171

13,272

2020

22.8%3,107

77.2%10,506

13,613

2018

33.6%151

66.4%298

449

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

26.0%3,545

69.9%9,543

13,659

2022

27.1%2,743

72.8%7,372

10,122

2018Class I

36.8%Sherrod Brown3,788

63.2%Jim Renacci6,503

10,293

2016Class III

22.4%Ted Strickland2,851

70.7%Rob Portman9,011

12,752

2012Class I

39.9%Sherrod Brown5,154

52.0%Josh Mandel6,727

12,927

2010Class III

34.9%Lee Fisher3,420

59.7%Rob Portman5,858

9,813

2006Class I

55.6%Sherrod Brown6,143

44.4%Mike DeWine4,908

11,053

2004Class III

32.3%Eric Fingerhut4,448

67.7%George Voinovich9,309

13,757

2000Class I

32.2%Ted Celeste3,833

63.1%Mike DeWine7,525

11,917

1998Class III

42.1%Mary Boyle3,894

57.9%George Voinovich5,345

9,239

1994Class I

39.2%Joel Hyatt3,644

52.3%Mike DeWine4,857

9,291

1992Class III

50.9%John Glenn6,225

40.4%Mike DeWine4,939

12,224

1988Class I

56.1%Howard Metzenbaum6,136

43.9%George Voinovich4,808

10,944

1986Class III

57.8%John Glenn4,513

42.2%Thomas N. Kindness3,298

7,811

1982Class I

50.8%Howard Metzenbaum4,221

47.8%Paul E. Pfeifer3,976

8,311

1980Class III

61.0%John Glenn5,900

36.1%James E. Betts3,494

9,679

1976Class I

43.9%Howard Metzenbaum4,384

52.7%Robert A. Taft Jr.5,264

9,993

1974Class III

61.2%John Glenn4,186

34.0%Ralph J. Perk2,330

6,845

1970Class I

40.7%Howard Metzenbaum2,763

56.7%Robert A. Taft Jr.3,848

6,785

1968Class III

43.6%John J. Gilligan3,710

56.4%William B. Saxbe4,792

8,502

1964Class I

43.7%Stephen M. Young3,717

56.3%Robert A. Taft Jr.4,780

8,497

1962Class III

53.1%Frank J. Lausche3,548

46.9%John M. Briley3,140

6,688

1958Class I

44.2%Stephen M. Young3,281

55.8%John W. Bricker4,137

7,418

1956Class III

45.7%Frank J. Lausche3,703

54.3%George H. Bender4,408

8,111

1952Class I

33.4%Michael V. DiSalle2,763

66.6%John W. Bricker5,515

8,278

1950Class III

33.5%Joseph T. Ferguson2,508

66.5%Robert A. Taft4,968

7,476

1946Class I

29.3%James W. Huffman1,547

70.3%John W. Bricker3,718

5,287

1944Class III

35.7%William G. Pickrel2,683

64.3%Robert A. Taft4,826

7,509

1940Class I

—

0.0%John McSweeney0

0.0%Harold H. Burton0

8,087

1938Class III

35.0%Robert J. Bulkley2,393

65.0%Robert A. Taft4,445

6,838

1934Class I

44.9%Vic Donahey2,653

54.9%Simeon D. Fess3,248

5,914

1932Class III

45.6%Robert J. Bulkley3,098

51.7%Gilbert Bettman3,510

6,789

1928Class I

28.4%Charles V. Truax1,789

71.5%Simeon D. Fess4,511

6,310

1926Class III

29.3%Atlee Pomerene1,295

70.6%Frank B. Willis3,125

4,425

1922Class I

33.0%Atlee Pomerene1,749

66.3%Simeon D. Fess3,512

5,295

1920Class III

29.3%W.A. Julian1,774

70.6%Frank B. Willis4,267

6,046

1916Class I

39.9%Atlee Pomerene1,567

54.9%Myron T. Herrick2,157

3,931

1914Class III

30.0%Timothy S. Hogan1,084

61.2%Warren G. Harding2,207

3,609

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1954Special · Class III

39.7%Thomas A. Burke2,320

60.3%George H. Bender3,518

5,838

1928Special · Class III

23.4%Graham P. Hunt1,421

76.6%Theodore E. Burton4,644

6,065

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

19.5%Nan Whaley1,969

80.2%Mike Dewine8,074

10,073

2018

30.2%Richard Cordray And Betty Sutton3,114

65.7%Mike Dewine And Jon Husted6,772

10,301

2014

27.4%Ed FitzGerald2,137

69.2%John Kasich5,401

7,803

2010

42.9%Ted Strickland4,272

50.2%John Kasich5,002

9,966

2006

61.9%Ted Strickland6,903

33.7%Ken Blackwell3,753

11,152

2002

35.5%Tim Hagan3,104

60.0%Bob Taft5,254

8,753

1998

40.5%Lee Fisher3,630

53.5%Bob Taft4,794

8,957

1994

34.7%Rob Burch3,157

62.5%George Voinovich5,688

9,098

1990

45.7%Anthony J. Celebrezze Jr.4,102

54.3%George Voinovich4,883

8,985

1986

55.3%Dick Celeste4,211

44.7%Jim Rhodes3,407

7,618

1982

56.2%Dick Celeste4,512

42.2%Bud Brown3,385

8,028

1978

41.9%Dick Celeste2,504

55.1%Jim Rhodes3,298

5,981

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Carroll County, OH
Year	Total registered
2016	18,002
2018	18,315
2020	18,416
2022	18,318
2024	18,409

How did Carroll County, Ohio vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carroll County, Ohio voted Republican by 54.7 points (R+54.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,819 votes cast, 3,071 went Democratic and 10,634 went Republican.

When did Carroll County, Ohio last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Carroll County, Ohio?

Carroll County, Ohio has a population of 26,659 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carroll County, Ohio?

Median household income in Carroll County, Ohio is $64,835 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.

What is the political history of Carroll County, Ohio?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.