- Lead
- 22,382
- Total
- 43,637
- vs nation
- R+49.8
- Turnout
- 58.0%
Lauderdale County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.0% of 75,607 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 19,806
- Total
- 44,339
- vs nation
- R+49.1
- Turnout
- 60.7%
- Lead
- 17,947
- Total
- 38,838
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- 54.8%
- Lead
- 11,400
- Total
- 36,924
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,739
- Total
- 38,104
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,533
- Total
- 37,107
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,603
- Total
- 32,137
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 439
- Total
- 30,436
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 95,8302024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,6492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Etowah County, AL · twin score 88.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.0%43,816 participants ÷ 75,607 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.7%–39.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 39,876 | 72,736 | 54.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 31,120 | 72,968 | 42.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 44,510 | 73,356 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 26,430 | 74,611 | 35.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 43,816 | 75,607 | 58.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
31 precincts · 43,637 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ATLAS CH OF CHRISTATLAS CH OF CHRIST | 421 | 2,830 | 38 | 3,289 | 12.8% | 86.0% | R+73.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CTR_ STAR 1ST BAPT_CTR_ STAR 1ST BAPT_ | 448 | 2,367 | 34 | 2,849 | 15.7% | 83.1% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -KILLEN CH OF CHRISTKILLEN CH OF CHRIST | 455 | 2,323 | 32 | 2,810 | 16.2% | 82.7% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -ST_ JAMES UMCST_ JAMES UMC | 765 | 1,931 | 44 | 2,740 | 27.9% | 70.5% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -ROGERSVILLE 1ST BAPT_ROGERSVILLE 1ST BAPT_ | 416 | 2,147 | 34 | 2,597 | 16.0% | 82.7% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -CHRIST CHAPEL CHCHRIST CHAPEL CH | 696 | 1,584 | 32 | 2,312 | 30.1% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -UNDERWOOD COMM_ CTRUNDERWOOD COMM_ CTR | 359 | 1,486 | 21 | 1,866 | 19.2% | 79.6% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -CLOVERDALE COMM_ CTRCLOVERDALE COMM_ CTR | 211 | 1,490 | 16 | 1,717 | 12.3% | 86.8% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct -ELGIN SENIOR CTR_ELGIN SENIOR CTR_ | 203 | 1,493 | 19 | 1,715 | 11.8% | 87.1% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -CENTRAL COMM_ CTR_CENTRAL COMM_ CTR_ | 214 | 1,401 | 21 | 1,636 | 13.1% | 85.6% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -FLORENCE- HIGH SCHFLORENCE- HIGH SCH | 543 | 933 | 29 | 1,505 | 36.1% | 62.0% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -LEXINGTON SENIOR CTR_LEXINGTON SENIOR CTR_ | 166 | 1,311 | 16 | 1,493 | 11.1% | 87.8% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -LAUDERDALE CO_ BOARDLAUDERDALE CO_ BOARD | 260 | 1,193 | 22 | 1,475 | 17.6% | 80.9% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -ST_ FLORIAN SR CTR_ST_ FLORIAN SR CTR_ | 265 | 1,191 | 17 | 1,473 | 18.0% | 80.9% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -HIGHLAND BAPT_ CHHIGHLAND BAPT_ CH | 606 | 684 | 37 | 1,327 | 45.7% | 51.5% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -OAKLAND VFDOAKLAND VFD | 317 | 896 | 19 | 1,232 | 25.7% | 72.7% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -SALEM CH OF CHRIST ACTIVITYSALEM CH OF CHRIST ACTIVITY | 143 | 1,064 | 14 | 1,221 | 11.7% | 87.1% | R+75.4 |
| Precinct -STEWARTVILLE CH CHRISTSTEWARTVILLE CH CHRIST | 139 | 986 | 14 | 1,139 | 12.2% | 86.6% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -ANDERSON GYMNASIUMANDERSON GYMNASIUM | 144 | 954 | 9 | 1,107 | 13.0% | 86.2% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -FLORENCE BLVD CH OF CHRISTFLORENCE BLVD CH OF CHRIST | 282 | 699 | 14 | 995 | 28.3% | 70.3% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -HIBBETT SCHOOLHIBBETT SCHOOL | 369 | 605 | 16 | 990 | 37.3% | 61.1% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -E CAMPUS WOODMONT BAPT_E CAMPUS WOODMONT BAPT_ | 313 | 607 | 18 | 938 | 33.4% | 64.7% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -FAIRGROUNDS RD SENIORFAIRGROUNDS RD SENIOR | 395 | 478 | 8 | 881 | 44.8% | 54.3% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -BROADWAY RECREATION CTR_BROADWAY RECREATION CTR_ | 327 | 417 | 7 | 751 | 43.5% | 55.5% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -SHERROD AVE CH OF CHRISTSHERROD AVE CH OF CHRIST | 452 | 285 | 14 | 751 | 60.2% | 37.9% | D+22.2 |
| Precinct -FLORENCE- 1ST BAPT_FLORENCE- 1ST BAPT_ | 270 | 281 | 18 | 569 | 47.5% | 49.4% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -HANDY RECREATION CTR_HANDY RECREATION CTR_ | 435 | 81 | 3 | 519 | 83.8% | 15.6% | D+68.2 |
| Precinct -CENTRAL BAPT_ CHCENTRAL BAPT_ CH | 231 | 266 | 5 | 502 | 46.0% | 53.0% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -GRADY RICHARDS CTR_GRADY RICHARDS CTR_ | 209 | 231 | 14 | 454 | 46.0% | 50.9% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -1ST PRESBYTERIAN CH1ST PRESBYTERIAN CH | 231 | 179 | 12 | 422 | 54.7% | 42.4% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct -WATERLOO SENIOR CTR_WATERLOO SENIOR CTR_ | 41 | 315 | 6 | 362 | 11.3% | 87.0% | R+75.7 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +24.5% |
| 1880 | +16.8% |
| 1884 | +44.9% |
| 1888 | +18.7% |
| 1892 | +64.5% |
| 1896 | +37.7% |
| 1900 | −2.7% |
| 1904 | +59.3% |
| 1908 | +45.8% |
| 1912 | +55.6% |
| 1916 | +62.1% |
| 1920 | +38.2% |
| 1924 | +45.4% |
| 1928 | +33.2% |
| 1932 | +76.7% |
| 1936 | +84.3% |
| 1940 | +81.3% |
| 1944 | +74.0% |
| 1948 | −14.3% |
| 1952 | +57.5% |
| 1956 | +57.2% |
| 1960 | +40.9% |
| 1964 | −47.6% |
| 1968 | −4.2% |
| 1972 | −46.2% |
| 1976 | +35.9% |
| 1980 | +18.0% |
| 1984 | −8.5% |
| 1988 | −0.3% |
| 1992 | +6.5% |
| 1996 | −1.4% |
| 2000 | −11.2% |
| 2004 | −20.3% |
| 2008 | −28.2% |
| 2012 | −30.9% |
| 2016 | −46.2% |
| 2020 | −44.7% |
| 2024 | −51.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 63,719 |
| 2020 | 68,218 |
| 2022 | 67,340 |
| 2024 | 70,859 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+112 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,936 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,409 in average income, against $78,822 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+43.8 on average — 7.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Lauderdale County, AL itself (R+51.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Colbert County, AL502R+46.3
- Limestone County, AL153R+43.7
- Madison County, AL132R+8.9
- Morgan County, AL62R+52.4
- Lawrence County, TN61R+69.1
- Franklin County, AL49R+73.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Colbert County, AL555
- Madison County, AL202
- Limestone County, AL129
- Morgan County, AL69
- Jefferson County, AL59
- Franklin County, AL49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −18 |
| 2012 | +155 |
| 2013 | +220 |
| 2014 | +440 |
| 2015 | −429 |
| 2016 | +100 |
| 2017 | +391 |
| 2018 | +214 |
| 2019 | +355 |
| 2021 | +1,298 |
| 2022 | +1,305 |
| 2023 | +1,090 |
| 2024 | +703 |
| 2025 | +112 |
Lauderdale County anchors Alabama's northwest corner along the Tennessee River, where a largely rural, majority-white electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 51.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.3 points.
A population of 95,830, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,649 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Etowah County and Obion County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lauderdale County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.