HarrisDemocratic18.5%2,983TrumpRepublican80.8%13,024KennedyIndependent0.5%78
R+62.3- Lead
- 10,041
- Total
- 16,122
- vs nation
- R+60.8
- Turnout
- 62.6%
Akashiccounty
Lawrence County, AL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.6% of 25,821 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.2%3,562TrumpRepublican76.9%12,322JorgensenLibertarian0.8%126
R+54.6- Lead
- 8,760
- Total
- 16,031
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Turnout
- 62.8%
ClintonDemocratic24.7%3,627TrumpRepublican73.6%10,833JohnsonLibertarian1.7%250
R+49.0- Lead
- 7,206
- Total
- 14,710
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Turnout
- 57.5%
ObamaDemocratic35.9%5,069RomneyRepublican62.9%8,874OtherAll other candidates1.2%169
R+27.0- Lead
- 3,805
- Total
- 14,112
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic35.2%5,164McCainRepublican63.2%9,277OtherAll other candidates1.6%239
R+28.0- Lead
- 4,113
- Total
- 14,680
- vs nation
- R+35.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.0%6,155BushRepublican55.2%7,730OtherAll other candidates0.8%116
R+11.2- Lead
- 1,575
- Total
- 14,001
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic51.7%6,296BushRepublican46.5%5,671NaderGreen0.5%63
D+5.1- Lead
- 625
- Total
- 12,185
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.8%5,254DoleRepublican38.4%3,893PerotReform9.5%964
D+13.4- Lead
- 1,361
- Total
- 10,143
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,2762024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,0712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.2 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Colbert County, AL · twin score 91.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.6%16,173 participants ÷ 25,821 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.5%–47.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,941 | 25,993 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,111 | 25,719 | 47.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,086 | 25,618 | 62.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,967 | 25,716 | 42.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,173 | 25,821 | 62.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 16,122 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BOARD OF ED 25-1BOARD OF ED 25-1 | 151 | 1,081 | 7 | 1,239 | 12.2% | 87.2% | R+75.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CADDO FIRE DEPT_ 33-1CADDO FIRE DEPT_ 33-1 | 126 | 1,087 | 10 | 1,223 | 10.3% | 88.9% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -CADDO SR_ CTR_ 34-1CADDO SR_ CTR_ 34-1 | 115 | 858 | 10 | 983 | 11.7% | 87.3% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -HATTON CH OF CHRIST 13-1HATTON CH OF CHRIST 13-1 | 109 | 864 | 8 | 981 | 11.1% | 88.1% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE HEALTH DEPT19-1LAWRENCE HEALTH DEPT19-1 | 162 | 754 | 8 | 924 | 17.5% | 81.6% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -CHALYBEATE FIRE DEPT17-1CHALYBEATE FIRE DEPT17-1 | 76 | 766 | 3 | 845 | 9.0% | 90.7% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -KITCHENS MILL 29-1 35-1KITCHENS MILL 29-1 35-1 | 79 | 720 | 6 | 805 | 9.8% | 89.4% | R+79.6 |
| Precinct -SPEAKE FIRE DEPT_ 28-1SPEAKE FIRE DEPT_ 28-1 | 92 | 705 | 7 | 804 | 11.4% | 87.7% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO CITY HALL 1-1HILLSBORO CITY HALL 1-1 | 322 | 363 | 2 | 687 | 46.9% | 52.8% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -MT MORIAH METH_15-1 21-1MT MORIAH METH_15-1 21-1 | 55 | 580 | 2 | 637 | 8.6% | 91.1% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT GRV 14 20 23 27PLEASANT GRV 14 20 23 27 | 59 | 569 | 2 | 630 | 9.4% | 90.3% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -PINE GROVE CH 36-1PINE GROVE CH 36-1 | 61 | 546 | 4 | 611 | 10.0% | 89.4% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -MT HOPE BAPT_ FELLOW 9-1MT HOPE BAPT_ FELLOW 9-1 | 30 | 569 | 1 | 600 | 5.0% | 94.8% | R+89.8 |
| Precinct -PILGRAM MISS_ BAPT_ 18-1PILGRAM MISS_ BAPT_ 18-1 | 44 | 528 | 7 | 579 | 7.6% | 91.2% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -LANDERSVILLE METH_ 12-1LANDERSVILLE METH_ 12-1 | 57 | 397 | 6 | 460 | 12.4% | 86.3% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -WOLF SPRING BAPT_ 10-1WOLF SPRING BAPT_ 10-1 | 53 | 391 | 9 | 453 | 11.7% | 86.3% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -DONALD BAPT_ CH 7-1 8-1DONALD BAPT_ CH 7-1 8-1 | 82 | 361 | 1 | 444 | 18.5% | 81.3% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -N_ COUTLAND SR_ CTR_ 2-1N_ COUTLAND SR_ CTR_ 2-1 | 360 | 32 | 2 | 394 | 91.4% | 8.1% | D+83.2 |
| Precinct -MCCARLEY CTR_ 6-1MCCARLEY CTR_ 6-1 | 122 | 262 | 2 | 386 | 31.6% | 67.9% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -HILLBORO FIRE DEPT_ 4-1HILLBORO FIRE DEPT_ 4-1 | 162 | 212 | 5 | 379 | 42.7% | 55.9% | R+13.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN CREEK COM_ CTR_ 5-1TOWN CREEK COM_ CTR_ 5-1 | 191 | 154 | 2 | 347 | 55.0% | 44.4% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -NEW LIBERTY GROVE 16-1NEW LIBERTY GROVE 16-1 | 45 | 276 | 4 | 325 | 13.8% | 84.9% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -RED BANK FIRE DEPT_ 3-1RED BANK FIRE DEPT_ 3-1 | 224 | 76 | 2 | 302 | 74.2% | 25.2% | D+49.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELD CH 22-1 30-1FAIRFIELD CH 22-1 30-1 | 25 | 250 | 1 | 276 | 9.1% | 90.6% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -NEW ZION BAPT_ 11-1NEW ZION BAPT_ 11-1 | 17 | 227 | 1 | 245 | 6.9% | 92.7% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -MOULTON CITY HALL 24-1MOULTON CITY HALL 24-1 | 14 | 173 | 0 | 187 | 7.5% | 92.5% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -FREEMAN TAB 26-1FREEMAN TAB 26-1 | 121 | 42 | 0 | 163 | 74.2% | 25.8% | D+48.5 |
| Precinct -PINEY GROVE CH 32-1PINEY GROVE CH 32-1 | 15 | 129 | 1 | 145 | 10.3% | 89.0% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -LINDSEY HALL CH 31-1LINDSEY HALL CH 31-1 | 14 | 52 | 2 | 68 | 20.6% | 76.5% | R+55.9 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +5.6% |
| 1880 | +4.0% |
| 1884 | −5.6% |
| 1888 | −0.3% |
| 1892 | +43.4% |
| 1896 | −14.5% |
| 1900 | +11.4% |
| 1904 | +37.4% |
| 1908 | +26.1% |
| 1912 | +39.2% |
| 1916 | +82.2% |
| 1920 | +5.8% |
| 1924 | +35.5% |
| 1928 | +1.3% |
| 1932 | +73.1% |
| 1936 | +66.4% |
| 1940 | +64.9% |
| 1944 | +53.9% |
| 1948 | −19.8% |
| 1952 | +53.1% |
| 1956 | +42.2% |
| 1960 | +36.4% |
| 1964 | −50.0% |
| 1968 | +0.9% |
| 1972 | −51.5% |
| 1976 | +65.1% |
| 1980 | +41.8% |
| 1984 | +4.2% |
| 1988 | +12.2% |
| 1992 | +24.1% |
| 1996 | +13.4% |
| 2000 | +5.1% |
| 2004 | −11.2% |
| 2008 | −28.0% |
| 2012 | −27.0% |
| 2016 | −49.0% |
| 2020 | −54.6% |
| 2024 | −62.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 24,452 |
| 2020 | 25,471 |
| 2022 | 25,342 |
| 2024 | 25,906 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+288 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +365 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,516 in average income, against $62,128 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.0 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, AL itself (R+62.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Morgan County, AL310R+52.4
- Colbert County, AL70R+46.3
- Madison County, AL49R+8.9
- Limestone County, AL30R+43.7
- Cullman County, AL22R+80.3
- Franklin County, AL22R+73.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Morgan County, AL253
- Madison County, AL57
- Colbert County, AL40
- Lauderdale County, AL32
- Limestone County, AL32
- Cullman County, AL28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −215 |
| 2012 | −236 |
| 2013 | −210 |
| 2014 | −64 |
| 2015 | −266 |
| 2016 | +121 |
| 2017 | −144 |
| 2018 | −61 |
| 2019 | +69 |
| 2021 | +200 |
| 2022 | +270 |
| 2023 | +407 |
| 2024 | +206 |
| 2025 | +288 |
Lawrence County, a rural stretch of the Tennessee River valley, delivered a 62-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep realignment of working-class white voters across the rural South over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.2 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 62.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.3 points.
A population of 33,276, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,071 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Colbert County and Giles County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Colbert County
Alabama
91.4twin score
elasticity2000 margin12-yr trend
Giles County
Tennessee
91.2twin score
2000–2024 trajectoryelasticity% Catholic≠ % Evangelical
Gibson County
Tennessee
90.9twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2000 margin≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrence County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lawrence County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, Alabama voted Republican by 62.3 points (R+62.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,122 votes cast, 2,983 went Democratic and 13,024 went Republican.
When did Lawrence County, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, Alabama voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Lawrence County, Alabama?
Lawrence County, Alabama has a population of 33,276 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, Alabama?
Median household income in Lawrence County, Alabama is $66,071 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.