- Lead
- 12,577
- Total
- 27,160
- vs nation
- R+44.8
- Turnout
- 60.2%
Colbert County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.2% of 45,275 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 10,860
- Total
- 27,886
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Turnout
- 65.1%
- Lead
- 9,434
- Total
- 24,569
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- 59.4%
- Lead
- 4,770
- Total
- 23,385
- vs nation
- R+24.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,036
- Total
- 24,843
- vs nation
- R+27.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,590
- Total
- 23,935
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 25
- Total
- 21,532
- vs nation
- R+0.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,921
- Total
- 20,318
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+46.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 58,0222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,6282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lawrence County, AL · twin score 91.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.2%27,239 participants ÷ 45,275 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.4%–42.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,074 | 42,234 | 59.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 21,081 | 42,391 | 49.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 27,984 | 43,014 | 65.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 17,583 | 44,766 | 39.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 27,239 | 45,275 | 60.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
34 precincts · 27,160 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -GRACE LIFEGRACE LIFE | 534 | 1,161 | 29 | 1,724 | 31.0% | 67.3% | R+36.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MUSCLE SHOALS CITY HALLMUSCLE SHOALS CITY HALL | 442 | 1,151 | 25 | 1,618 | 27.3% | 71.1% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -EAST COLBERT SR_ CTR_EAST COLBERT SR_ CTR_ | 285 | 1,081 | 14 | 1,380 | 20.7% | 78.3% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -COUNTY HWY_ DEPT_COUNTY HWY_ DEPT_ | 181 | 1,103 | 11 | 1,295 | 14.0% | 85.2% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -GATMAN PARK & REC_GATMAN PARK & REC_ | 299 | 948 | 11 | 1,258 | 23.8% | 75.4% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -COLBERT HEIGHTS BAPT_COLBERT HEIGHTS BAPT_ | 142 | 1,099 | 14 | 1,255 | 11.3% | 87.6% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -WOODWARD AVE_ BAPT_WOODWARD AVE_ BAPT_ | 381 | 847 | 19 | 1,247 | 30.6% | 67.9% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -FIRST SOUTHERN BAPT_FIRST SOUTHERN BAPT_ | 160 | 969 | 13 | 1,142 | 14.0% | 84.9% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -PARK VIEW BAPT_PARK VIEW BAPT_ | 549 | 558 | 12 | 1,119 | 49.1% | 49.9% | R+0.8 |
| Precinct -HOPE HAVEN SCHOOLHOPE HAVEN SCHOOL | 161 | 878 | 11 | 1,050 | 15.3% | 83.6% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -TUSCUMBIA MULTI-PURPOSETUSCUMBIA MULTI-PURPOSE | 347 | 672 | 14 | 1,033 | 33.6% | 65.1% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -SHEFFIELD RECREATIONSHEFFIELD RECREATION | 321 | 658 | 14 | 993 | 32.3% | 66.3% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -HATTON BAPT_HATTON BAPT_ | 329 | 579 | 5 | 913 | 36.0% | 63.4% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -LITTLEVILLE CITY HALLLITTLEVILLE CITY HALL | 97 | 799 | 13 | 909 | 10.7% | 87.9% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -CHEROKEE LIONS DENCHEROKEE LIONS DEN | 191 | 699 | 10 | 900 | 21.2% | 77.7% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -TREE HOUSE SCHTREE HOUSE SCH | 232 | 617 | 14 | 863 | 26.9% | 71.5% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -PLUMBER STEAMFITTERPLUMBER STEAMFITTER | 235 | 514 | 10 | 759 | 31.0% | 67.7% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -NEW BETHEL FIRENEW BETHEL FIRE | 91 | 646 | 5 | 742 | 12.3% | 87.1% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -PRIDE MISSIONARYPRIDE MISSIONARY | 113 | 575 | 10 | 698 | 16.2% | 82.4% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -WESTSIDE BAPT_WESTSIDE BAPT_ | 127 | 549 | 8 | 684 | 18.6% | 80.3% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -SHEFFIELD FIRE 2ND STSHEFFIELD FIRE 2ND ST | 331 | 330 | 5 | 666 | 49.7% | 49.5% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -LEIGHTON CIVIC CTRLEIGHTON CIVIC CTR | 187 | 420 | 4 | 611 | 30.6% | 68.7% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -LA GRANGE FIRELA GRANGE FIRE | 49 | 475 | 1 | 525 | 9.3% | 90.5% | R+81.1 |
| Precinct -SHEFFIELD MICHAELSHEFFIELD MICHAEL | 397 | 107 | 4 | 508 | 78.1% | 21.1% | D+57.1 |
| Precinct -BARTON FIRST BAPT_BARTON FIRST BAPT_ | 147 | 344 | 5 | 496 | 29.6% | 69.4% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -SPRING VALLEY CH GODSPRING VALLEY CH GOD | 52 | 439 | 4 | 495 | 10.5% | 88.7% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -HELEN KELLER PUBLIC LIBRARYHELEN KELLER PUBLIC LIBRARY | 156 | 321 | 9 | 486 | 32.1% | 66.0% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -SHEFFIELD BD OF EDSHEFFIELD BD OF ED | 149 | 279 | 9 | 437 | 34.1% | 63.8% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -MARGERUM COMMUNITYMARGERUM COMMUNITY | 54 | 254 | 1 | 309 | 17.5% | 82.2% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -LEIGHTON CITY HALLLEIGHTON CITY HALL | 163 | 137 | 1 | 301 | 54.2% | 45.5% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct -COARMMCOARMM | 80 | 181 | 1 | 262 | 30.5% | 69.1% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -SRYGLEY CH OF CHRISTSRYGLEY CH OF CHRIST | 19 | 152 | 1 | 172 | 11.0% | 88.4% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -CAVE SPRINGS BAPT_CAVE SPRINGS BAPT_ | 120 | 41 | 0 | 161 | 74.5% | 25.5% | D+49.1 |
| Precinct -ALLSBORO CUMBERLANDALLSBORO CUMBERLAND | 16 | 131 | 2 | 149 | 10.7% | 87.9% | R+77.2 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +28.0% |
| 1880 | +6.7% |
| 1884 | −4.6% |
| 1888 | −1.6% |
| 1892 | +56.5% |
| 1896 | −2.7% |
| 1900 | +10.3% |
| 1904 | +63.1% |
| 1908 | +39.2% |
| 1912 | +48.0% |
| 1916 | +51.0% |
| 1920 | +47.2% |
| 1924 | +40.7% |
| 1928 | +34.1% |
| 1932 | +80.0% |
| 1936 | +85.8% |
| 1940 | +83.1% |
| 1944 | +74.3% |
| 1948 | −15.6% |
| 1952 | +62.1% |
| 1956 | +58.1% |
| 1960 | +45.1% |
| 1964 | −48.6% |
| 1968 | +3.6% |
| 1972 | −38.7% |
| 1976 | +44.7% |
| 1980 | +29.6% |
| 1984 | +7.0% |
| 1988 | +14.2% |
| 1992 | +18.4% |
| 1996 | +9.5% |
| 2000 | +0.1% |
| 2004 | −10.8% |
| 2008 | −20.3% |
| 2012 | −20.4% |
| 2016 | −38.4% |
| 2020 | −38.9% |
| 2024 | −46.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 40,780 |
| 2020 | 43,748 |
| 2022 | 43,605 |
| 2024 | 45,322 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+414 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,763 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,718 in average income, against $73,858 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+50.9 on average — 4.6 points more Republican-leaning than Colbert County, AL itself (R+46.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lauderdale County, AL555R+51.3
- Franklin County, AL142R+73.2
- Madison County, AL64R+8.9
- Lawrence County, AL40R+62.3
- Morgan County, AL33R+52.4
- Jefferson County, AL27D+10.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lauderdale County, AL502
- Franklin County, AL104
- Madison County, AL73
- Lawrence County, AL70
- Morgan County, AL37
- Limestone County, AL33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +56 |
| 2012 | +78 |
| 2013 | +95 |
| 2014 | +64 |
| 2015 | +43 |
| 2016 | +54 |
| 2017 | +239 |
| 2018 | +327 |
| 2019 | +256 |
| 2021 | +523 |
| 2022 | +581 |
| 2023 | +497 |
| 2024 | +536 |
| 2025 | +414 |
Colbert County sits along the Tennessee River in Alabama's northwest corner, where a manufacturing and agricultural economy anchors a predominantly white working-class electorate that has shifted decisively toward Republican candidates over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.3 points.
A population of 58,022, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,628 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lawrence County and Carroll County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Colbert County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.