HarrisDemocratic24.7%17,463TrumpRepublican74.0%52,422OtherAll other candidates1.3%912
R+49.4- Lead
- 34,959
- Total
- 70,797
- vs nation
- R+47.9
Akashicmetro area
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic28.0%20,258TrumpRepublican70.5%50,924OtherAll other candidates1.4%1,043
R+42.5- Lead
- 30,666
- Total
- 72,225
- vs nation
- R+46.9
ClintonDemocratic27.2%17,264TrumpRepublican70.4%44,645OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,498
R+43.2- Lead
- 27,381
- Total
- 63,407
- vs nation
- R+45.3
ObamaDemocratic35.9%21,677RomneyRepublican62.8%37,847OtherAll other candidates1.3%785
R+26.8- Lead
- 16,170
- Total
- 60,309
- vs nation
- R+30.7
ObamaDemocratic36.6%23,032McCainRepublican61.7%38,807OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,108
R+25.1- Lead
- 15,775
- Total
- 62,947
- vs nation
- R+32.3
KerryDemocratic41.3%25,226BushRepublican57.9%35,349OtherAll other candidates0.8%467
R+16.6- Lead
- 10,123
- Total
- 61,042
- vs nation
- R+14.1
GoreDemocratic45.5%24,418BushRepublican52.2%27,996OtherAll other candidates2.3%1,255
R+6.7- Lead
- 3,578
- Total
- 53,669
- vs nation
- R+7.2
ClintonDemocratic47.0%23,845DoleRepublican44.1%22,363OtherAll other candidates9.0%4,546
D+2.9- Lead
- 1,482
- Total
- 50,754
- vs nation
- R+5.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 153,8522024 5-year
- Population density
- 122 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,261 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,8872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Union City, TN · twin score 93.2
presidential history
Party record book
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
92.3%
8,050 votes · D+85.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 90.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.0%
52,422 votes · R+49.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
28,142votes
50.1% of the vote · D+11.3
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · 27,929 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
52,422votes
74.0% of the vote · R+49.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 50,924 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+80.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.9 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +73.0 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+70.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.0 · U.S. D+22.6 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +47.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 104,499 |
| 2020 | 111,966 |
| 2022 | 110,945 |
| 2024 | 116,181 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+526 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +9,699 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +38 |
| 2012 | +233 |
| 2013 | +315 |
| 2014 | +504 |
| 2015 | −386 |
| 2016 | +154 |
| 2017 | +630 |
| 2018 | +541 |
| 2019 | +611 |
| 2021 | +1,821 |
| 2022 | +1,886 |
| 2023 | +1,587 |
| 2024 | +1,239 |
| 2025 | +526 |
The Shoals metro anchors Alabama's northwest corner with a legacy of TVA-era industrial employment and FAME Studios-era cultural identity; Colbert and Lauderdale counties have voted Republican at the presidential level by 40-plus-point margins in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 49.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.4 points.
A population of 153,852, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,887 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Union City, TN and Gadsden, AL.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Union City, TN
93.2twin score
elasticity% Evangelical12-yr trend≠ population scale
Gadsden, AL
91.7twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Decatur, AL
90.2twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2020–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/22520/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama voted Republican by 49.4 points (R+49.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 70,797 votes cast, 17,463 went Democratic and 52,422 went Republican.
When did Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama?
Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama has a population of 153,852 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama?
Median household income in Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama is $61,887 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL, Alabama from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.