Hamilton, Ohio
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −21.2% |
| 2008 | −11.4% |
| 2012 | −11.1% |
| 2016 | −25.5% |
| 2020 | −23.6% |
| 2024 | −26.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36.4%Harris8,693 | 62.8%Trump15,008 | 0.8% | R+26.4 | R+2.9 | R+24.9 | 23,904 | |
| R | 37.4%Biden9,091 | 60.9%Trump14,821 | 1.7% | R+23.6 | D+1.9 | R+28.0 | 24,317 | |
| R | 35.1%Clinton8,001 | 60.7%Trump13,807 | 4.2% | R+25.5 | R+14.4 | R+27.6 | 22,763 | |
| R | 43.4%Obama10,038 | 54.5%Romney12,610 | 2.1% | R+11.1 | D+0.3 | R+15.0 | 23,135 | |
| R | 43.4%Obama10,735 | 54.7%McCain13,552 | 1.9% | R+11.4 | D+9.8 | R+18.7 | 24,753 | |
| R | 38.7%Kerry9,154 | 59.9%Bush14,162 | 1.3% | R+21.2 | — | R+18.7 | 23,628 |
Hamilton has trended toward Republican margins in recent cycles while retaining a blue-collar industrial identity rooted in paper and metal manufacturing. Its Rust Belt demographic mix makes it a reliable bellwether for Butler County as a whole.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 26.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.4 points.
A population of 63,468, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,166 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Middletown and Lancaster.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Hamilton, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3933012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.