- Lead
- 12,172
- Total
- 63,049
- vs nation
- R+17.8
Ohio 45th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,707
- Total
- 65,903
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Lead
- 15,400
- Total
- 62,181
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Lead
- 13,311
- Total
- 60,034
- vs nation
- R+26.0
- Lead
- 12,060
- Total
- 61,344
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Lead
- 17,393
- Total
- 58,655
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Lead
- 12,855
- Total
- 48,181
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Lead
- 7,098
- Total
- 43,482
- vs nation
- R+24.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 123,4722024 5-year
- Population density
- 987 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 125 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $96,4472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.6 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.9 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 131, GA · twin score 90.6
presidential history
Party record book
Ohio 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
64.7%
2,211 votes · D+29.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1888 · 63.0%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
71.6%
26,203 votes · R+43.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 67.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
26,588votes
40.3% of the vote · R+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 25,098 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
38,295votes
58.1% of the vote · R+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 37,861 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+33.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.0 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +28.7 pts
Republican
George H. W. Bush1988
+27.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.5 · U.S. R+7.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · +27.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.9%20,014 | 64.1%35,791 | 55,805 |
| 2020 | R | 35.7%20,233 | 64.3%36,377 | 56,610 |
Ohio 45th State House District sits in the Industrial Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.6 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 43.9 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.3 points.
A population of 123,472, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,447 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 131 and State House District 70.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Ohio 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/39045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.