Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic56.2%1,085TrumpRepublican42.3%816OtherAll other candidates1.5%29
D+13.9
Lead
269
Total
1,930
vs nation
D+15.4
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic56.2%1,114TrumpRepublican42.4%840OtherAll other candidates1.5%29
D+13.8
Lead
274
Total
1,983
vs nation
D+9.4
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic49.2%883TrumpRepublican45.3%813OtherAll other candidates5.5%99
D+3.9
Lead
70
Total
1,795
vs nation
D+1.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic45.0%743RomneyRepublican53.2%878OtherAll other candidates1.8%29
R+8.2
Lead
135
Total
1,650
vs nation
R+12.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic49.8%931McCainRepublican48.7%912OtherAll other candidates1.5%28
D+1.0
Lead
19
Total
1,871
vs nation
R+6.3
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic48.4%913BushRepublican50.0%943OtherAll other candidates1.5%29
R+1.6
Lead
30
Total
1,885
vs nation
D+0.9
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+13.9MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0722024 5-year
Median household income
$99,9042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
97.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
0.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+13.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+8.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−1.6%
2008
+1.0%
2012
−8.2%
2016
+3.9%
2020
+13.8%
2024
+13.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
56.2%Harris1,085
42.3%Trump816
1.5%
D+13.9
D+0.1
D+15.4
1,930
D
56.2%Biden1,114
42.4%Trump840
1.5%
D+13.8
D+9.9
D+9.4
1,983
D
49.2%Clinton883
45.3%Trump813
5.5%
D+3.9
D+12.1
D+1.8
1,795
R
45.0%Obama743
53.2%Romney878
1.8%
R+8.2
R+9.2
R+12.0
1,650
D
49.8%Obama931
48.7%McCain912
1.5%
D+1.0
—
R+6.3
1,871
R
48.4%Kerry913
50.0%Bush943
1.5%
R+1.6
—
D+0.9
1,885
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Orchard Park sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.9 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 8.2 points in 2012. The 2024 margin was 13.9 points.
A population of 3,072, a 98% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,904 describe the city.
In 2024, Orchard Park, New York voted Democratic by 13.9 points (D+13.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,930 votes cast, 1,085 went Democratic and 816 went Republican.
When did Orchard Park, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Orchard Park, New York voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Orchard Park, New York?
Orchard Park, New York has a population of 3,072 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orchard Park, New York?
Median household income in Orchard Park, New York is $99,904 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Orchard Park, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Orchard Park, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.