HarrisDemocratic43.5%3,359TrumpRepublican55.0%4,248OtherAll other candidates1.5%112
R+11.5- Lead
- 889
- Total
- 7,719
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Oldsmar, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic45.0%3,769TrumpRepublican53.2%4,458OtherAll other candidates1.8%148
R+8.2- Lead
- 689
- Total
- 8,375
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.4%3,065TrumpRepublican52.0%3,757OtherAll other candidates5.6%402
R+9.6- Lead
- 692
- Total
- 7,224
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.4%3,207RomneyRepublican50.4%3,339OtherAll other candidates1.2%77
R+2.0- Lead
- 132
- Total
- 6,623
- vs nation
- R+5.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.7%3,230McCainRepublican50.1%3,322OtherAll other candidates1.2%77
R+1.4- Lead
- 92
- Total
- 6,629
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic45.0%2,931BushRepublican54.8%3,571OtherAll other candidates0.3%18
R+9.8- Lead
- 640
- Total
- 6,520
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,9042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,3332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+11.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bardmoor, FL · twin score 82.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −9.8% |
| 2008 | −1.4% |
| 2012 | −2.0% |
| 2016 | −9.6% |
| 2020 | −8.2% |
| 2024 | −11.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 43.5%Harris3,359 | 55.0%Trump4,248 | 1.5% | R+11.5 | R+3.3 | R+10.0 | 7,719 | |
| R | 45.0%Biden3,769 | 53.2%Trump4,458 | 1.8% | R+8.2 | D+1.4 | R+12.7 | 8,375 | |
| R | 42.4%Clinton3,065 | 52.0%Trump3,757 | 5.6% | R+9.6 | R+7.6 | R+11.7 | 7,224 | |
| R | 48.4%Obama3,207 | 50.4%Romney3,339 | 1.2% | R+2.0 | R+0.6 | R+5.8 | 6,623 | |
| R | 48.7%Obama3,230 | 50.1%McCain3,322 | 1.2% | R+1.4 | — | R+8.7 | 6,629 | |
| R | 45.0%Kerry2,931 | 54.8%Bush3,571 | 0.3% | R+9.8 | — | R+7.4 | 6,520 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 43.0%4,569 | 57.0%6,063 | 10,632 |
| 2020 | R | 40.1%3,302 | 59.9%4,928 | 8,230 |
Oldsmar sits at the northern edge of Pinellas County, where its mix of waterfront retirees and working-age commuters produces competitive margins in countywide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 11.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.5 points.
A population of 14,904, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,333 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bardmoor and Belle Isle.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Bardmoor
Florida
82.4twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory
Belle Isle
Florida
79.0twin score
Puerto Rican ancestry2020–2024 trajectoryScottish ancestry≠ American ancestry
Auburndale
Florida
75.4twin score
12-yr trendelasticitymedian age≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oldsmar, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1251350/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Oldsmar, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oldsmar, Florida voted Republican by 11.5 points (R+11.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,719 votes cast, 3,359 went Democratic and 4,248 went Republican.
How many people live in Oldsmar, Florida?
Oldsmar, Florida has a population of 14,904 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oldsmar, Florida?
Median household income in Oldsmar, Florida is $88,333 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Oldsmar, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Oldsmar, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.