HarrisDemocratic37.1%1,482TrumpRepublican61.7%2,462OtherAll other candidates1.2%48
R+24.5- Lead
- 980
- Total
- 3,992
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Belle Isle, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic39.2%1,725TrumpRepublican59.3%2,611OtherAll other candidates1.5%68
R+20.1- Lead
- 886
- Total
- 4,404
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic34.5%1,391TrumpRepublican60.7%2,446OtherAll other candidates4.8%195
R+26.2- Lead
- 1,055
- Total
- 4,032
- vs nation
- R+28.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.3%1,542RomneyRepublican58.8%2,252OtherAll other candidates0.9%34
R+18.5- Lead
- 710
- Total
- 3,828
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.7%1,302McCainRepublican60.5%2,036OtherAll other candidates0.8%28
R+21.8- Lead
- 734
- Total
- 3,366
- vs nation
- R+29.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.3%926BushRepublican69.0%2,110OtherAll other candidates0.8%24
R+38.7- Lead
- 1,184
- Total
- 3,060
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,4442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $104,5592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.7 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Trinity, FL · twin score 85.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −38.7% |
| 2008 | −21.8% |
| 2012 | −18.5% |
| 2016 | −26.2% |
| 2020 | −20.1% |
| 2024 | −24.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 37.1%Harris1,482 | 61.7%Trump2,462 | 1.2% | R+24.5 | R+4.4 | R+23.1 | 3,992 | |
| R | 39.2%Biden1,725 | 59.3%Trump2,611 | 1.5% | R+20.1 | D+6.0 | R+24.6 | 4,404 | |
| R | 34.5%Clinton1,391 | 60.7%Trump2,446 | 4.8% | R+26.2 | R+7.6 | R+28.3 | 4,032 | |
| R | 40.3%Obama1,542 | 58.8%Romney2,252 | 0.9% | R+18.5 | D+3.3 | R+22.4 | 3,828 | |
| R | 38.7%Obama1,302 | 60.5%McCain2,036 | 0.8% | R+21.8 | — | R+29.1 | 3,366 | |
| R | 30.3%Kerry926 | 69.0%Bush2,110 | 0.8% | R+38.7 | — | R+36.2 | 3,060 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 43.2%1,165 | 56.8%1,533 | 2,698 |
| 2020 | R | 40.7%1,762 | 59.3%2,563 | 4,325 |
Belle Isle sits almost entirely surrounded by the Conway chain of lakes in Orange County, giving it an unusually self-contained character for a community of its size. Its Orange County address places it within one of Florida's most closely watched suburban swing corridors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 38.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.5 points.
A population of 7,444, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,559 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Trinity and Orange Beach.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Trinity
Florida
85.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectoryAmerican ancestry
Orange Beach
Alabama
83.6twin score
American ancestrypopulation scale% Latino≠ 2012 margin
Moyock
North Carolina
82.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Belle Isle, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1205300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Belle Isle, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Belle Isle, Florida voted Republican by 24.5 points (R+24.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,992 votes cast, 1,482 went Democratic and 2,462 went Republican.
How many people live in Belle Isle, Florida?
Belle Isle, Florida has a population of 7,444 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Belle Isle, Florida?
Median household income in Belle Isle, Florida is $104,559 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Belle Isle, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Belle Isle, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.