- Lead
- 23,416
- Total
- 66,379
- vs nation
- D+36.7
Florida 40th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 31,672
- Total
- 74,712
- vs nation
- D+37.9
- Lead
- 27,368
- Total
- 65,558
- vs nation
- D+39.7
- Lead
- 20,167
- Total
- 55,658
- vs nation
- D+32.4
- Lead
- 20,277
- Total
- 55,190
- vs nation
- D+29.5
- Lead
- 8,796
- Total
- 44,636
- vs nation
- D+22.2
- Lead
- 6,940
- Total
- 32,231
- vs nation
- D+21.0
- Lead
- 4,733
- Total
- 26,252
- vs nation
- D+9.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 175,3262024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,762 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 46.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,2322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 45.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.7 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 97, FL · twin score 93.9
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 40th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
70.7%
52,809 votes · D+42.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 69.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
39.9%
17,820 votes · D+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 38.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
52,809votes
70.7% of the vote · D+42.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 45,409 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
21,137votes
28.3% of the vote · D+42.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 21,117 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+39.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.7 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +37.9 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
−21.0pts R vs U.S.
Place D+21.5 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −22.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Florida House District 40 recorded a 35.3-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most reliably blue districts and reflecting the dense, diverse urban electorate it encompasses.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.7 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 45.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.3 points.
A population of 175,326, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,232 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 97 and State House District 91.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 40th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.