HarrisDemocratic40.2%1,325TrumpRepublican57.5%1,896OtherAll other candidates2.4%79
R+17.3- Lead
- 571
- Total
- 3,300
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Bay Hill, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic47.2%1,651TrumpRepublican51.8%1,812OtherAll other candidates1.0%36
R+4.6- Lead
- 161
- Total
- 3,499
- vs nation
- R+9.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.7%1,300TrumpRepublican54.1%1,685OtherAll other candidates4.2%132
R+12.4- Lead
- 385
- Total
- 3,117
- vs nation
- R+14.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.2%1,011RomneyRepublican60.9%1,611OtherAll other candidates0.9%23
R+22.7- Lead
- 600
- Total
- 2,645
- vs nation
- R+26.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.3%1,259McCainRepublican58.1%1,770OtherAll other candidates0.6%18
R+16.8- Lead
- 511
- Total
- 3,047
- vs nation
- R+24.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic32.7%891BushRepublican67.2%1,830OtherAll other candidates0.1%4
R+34.5- Lead
- 939
- Total
- 2,725
- vs nation
- R+32.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,5122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $127,7632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.5 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −34.5% |
| 2008 | −16.8% |
| 2012 | −22.7% |
| 2016 | −12.4% |
| 2020 | −4.6% |
| 2024 | −17.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 40.2%Harris1,325 | 57.5%Trump1,896 | 2.4% | R+17.3 | R+12.7 | R+15.8 | 3,300 | |
| R | 47.2%Biden1,651 | 51.8%Trump1,812 | 1.0% | R+4.6 | D+7.8 | R+9.1 | 3,499 | |
| R | 41.7%Clinton1,300 | 54.1%Trump1,685 | 4.2% | R+12.4 | D+10.3 | R+14.4 | 3,117 | |
| R | 38.2%Obama1,011 | 60.9%Romney1,611 | 0.9% | R+22.7 | R+5.9 | R+26.5 | 2,645 | |
| R | 41.3%Obama1,259 | 58.1%McCain1,770 | 0.6% | R+16.8 | — | R+24.0 | 3,047 | |
| R | 32.7%Kerry891 | 67.2%Bush1,830 | 0.1% | R+34.5 | — | R+32.0 | 2,725 |
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 47.6%1,639 | 52.4%1,802 | 3,441 |
Bay Hill sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 34.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 12.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.3 points.
A population of 4,512, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $127,763 describe the city.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bay Hill, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1204070/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Bay Hill, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bay Hill, Florida voted Republican by 17.3 points (R+17.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,300 votes cast, 1,325 went Democratic and 1,896 went Republican.
How many people live in Bay Hill, Florida?
Bay Hill, Florida has a population of 4,512 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay Hill, Florida?
Median household income in Bay Hill, Florida is $127,763 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Bay Hill, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Bay Hill, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.