- Lead
- 455
- Total
- 3,243
- vs nation
- D+15.5
- Turnout
- —
Balm, FL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 713
- Total
- 3,003
- vs nation
- D+19.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 95
- Total
- 1,606
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 25
- Total
- 623
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 63
- Total
- 400
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 108
- Total
- 406
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,1812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $114,6592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 32.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.7 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.6 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutherford, PA · twin score 78.3
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −26.6% |
| 2008 | −15.8% |
| 2012 | +4.0% |
| 2016 | +5.9% |
| 2020 | +23.7% |
| 2024 | +14.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 56.2%Harris1,824 | 42.2%Trump1,369 | 1.5% | D+14.0 | R+9.7 | D+15.5 | 3,243 | |
| D | 61.3%Biden1,840 | 37.5%Trump1,127 | 1.2% | D+23.7 | D+17.8 | D+19.3 | 3,003 | |
| D | 50.6%Clinton812 | 44.6%Trump717 | 4.8% | D+5.9 | D+1.9 | D+3.8 | 1,606 | |
| D | 51.5%Obama321 | 47.5%Romney296 | 1.0% | D+4.0 | D+19.8 | D+0.2 | 623 | |
| R | 41.3%Obama165 | 57.0%McCain228 | 1.8% | R+15.8 | — | R+23.0 | 400 | |
| R | 36.7%Kerry149 | 63.3%Bush257 | 0.0% | R+26.6 | — | R+24.1 | 406 |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 62.3%1,836 | 37.7%1,110 | 2,946 |
Balm sits in southeastern Hillsborough County, where exurban growth is gradually overtaking the truck farms and ranches that long defined the area's economy and shaped a conservative-leaning, working-class electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.7 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 26.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 7,181, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $114,659 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutherford and Stafford Courthouse.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Balm, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1203375/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.